🏷️ Likely Rental
1417 S 8th St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in Louisville, Kentucky! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers approximately 944 square feet and is perfect for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With a tenant already in place, you can enjoy immediate rental income from day one. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and low-maintenance appeal, making it an ideal addition to any investment strategy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this property offers both accessibility and strong rental potential. Don't miss your chance to secure a turnkey investment in a desirable area!
Key facts
- Turnkey investment
- Functional layout
- 2,164 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Jefferson County; Subdivision: Downtown
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: House; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built area approximately 944
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Two total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cochran Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 324 students, 76% FRL); Highland Middle (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #181 of 217 statewide, top 84%, 801 students, 59% FRL); Fairdale High (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 1,386 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $62k implies a 520% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.90%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,960
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1455 S 12th St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,063 (+13%) | 4mo | $95,800 | $90 | 51 |
| 651 Davies Ave | 0.37mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 838 (-11%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $107 | 44 |
| 1147 S 15th St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-10%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $41 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $24,588
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $76,486
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40208
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$10 /mo · $126/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1501 Bellamy Pl Louisville, KY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1074 | $1,758 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1312 S 6th St Unit 609 FT-1B Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $825 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1310 S 6th St Unit 1310 S 6th-3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $825 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 415 Belgravia Ct Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 512 W Ormsby Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $1,795 | $3.13 | 1d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 427 Park Ave Unit 6 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 409 W Gaulbert Ave Unit 201 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,100 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Unit 6 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Unit 12 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Apt 8 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Unit 7 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1200 S 6th St Apt 4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 508 W Oak St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1146 S 6th St Unit 2B Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 216 W Burnett Ave Unit 226B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,050 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 216 W Burnett Ave Unit 216A Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1245 S 4th St Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 3d | 5 | 0.57mi |
| 1436 S 2nd St Unit 1436-1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1231 S 4th St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $925 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1231 S 4th St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $925 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 208 W Ormsby Ave Unit 4 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1319 S 2nd St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1121 Garvin Pl Unit 1121 Garvin Place-1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $900 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 607 Saint Catherine St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1702 S 2nd St Apt 3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $875 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1702 S 2nd St Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 510 Saint Catherine St Apt B Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $895 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1800 S 2nd St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $950 | $1.65 | 16d | 7 | 0.72mi |
| 1233 S 2nd St Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $875 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1245 S 1st St Unit 4 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $925 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1318 S Brook St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1304 S Brook St #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1305 S 17th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1228 S Brook St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $825 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 122 E Oak St #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,250 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 124 E Oak St #4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,550 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1009 S 3rd St #302 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 21 College Ct Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $880 | $0.98 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1135 S 1st St #7 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,500 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1714 W Hill St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,045 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-01days on market $62,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $62,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-05-20price $62,000
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2026-05-05price $72,000
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2026-04-20$77,000 Active
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2024-12-31historical
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2024-06-19$84,900 Active
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2024-05-31historical
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2024-03-29price $84,900
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2024-02-14price $89,900
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2024-01-04price $96,900
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2023-12-01price $99,900
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2023-09-15$105,000 Active
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2023-09-15price $119,900
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2023-09-15price $113,000
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2023-09-15price $105,000
-
2021-01-05soldstatus $10,000 Closed
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2020-12-28status Pending
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2020-12-21historical Active Under Contract
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2020-12-04$16,900 Active
-
2019-08-07historical
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2019-05-28$19,000 Active
-
2018-08-31soldstatus $18,900
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2018-08-14historical
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2018-05-16status Active
-
2018-05-16price $18,000
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2018-05-11status Pending
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2018-05-04$19,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $126 · $10/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$407/yr (+$34/mo · 323.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,941
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$126
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $5,158
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $39,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.97%
- Current HPI
- 240.6261
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+226.3% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $62,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $72,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $77,000 ImagineMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-06-19 Listed $84,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-03-29 Price Changed $84,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-14 Price Changed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2024-01-04 Price Changed $96,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-12-01 Price Changed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $105,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $113,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $119,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-09-15 Listed $105,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-01-05 Sold (MLS) $10,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-12-28 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-12-21 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-12-04 Listed $16,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-08-07 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2019-05-28 Listed $19,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2018-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $18,900 Public Records
- 2018-08-14 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2018-05-16 Relisted — Metro Search MLS
- 2018-05-16 Price Changed $18,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2018-05-11 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2018-05-04 Listed $19,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
-11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $126 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…