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1300 Carolina St
B Composite 72.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$65,000

1300 Carolina St · Gary, IN 46407
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 748 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 330 Days on market
Built 1919 3,746 sqft lot $87/sqft · 74% above area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PERFECT STARTER HOME , or investment property, located on a very spacious corner lot!! You wont have to wait to start packing, this one is Move In Ready!! You will love the large covered front porch , where your outdoor furniture can be added, to make this a relaxed area, in warmer months . The kitchen boast plenty of cabinet space, and has plenty of windows, for streaming light. Enjoy the privacy of your backyard for summer cookouts, and the additional lot on side of home is yours also. Excellent location, near major transportation center, interstate highways, and minutes from the Miller Beach area. Make your move , there is no place like 'Home Ownership"!!

Key facts

  • Additional lot
  • Privacy of backyard
  • Excellent location

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHPRIVACY OF BACKYARDADDITIONAL LOTEXCELLENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,217/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $637 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 330 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 330 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
16.26%
Cash-on-cash
35.60%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,891
List price
$65,000
Delta
62.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1621 Maryland St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 731 (-2%) 16mo $17,000 $23 66
1980 Massachusetts St 0.62mi 3/1.0 802 (+7%) 0mo $20,000 $25 59
1101 E 16th Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-4%) 20mo $40,000 $56 56
734 Ohio St 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 756 (+1%) 5mo $30,000 $40 54
764 Rhode Island St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 804 (+8%) 12mo $45,000 $56 48
772 Ohio St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 693 (-7%) 7mo $17,000 $25 48
1819 Illinois St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 725 (-3%) 11mo $55,000 $76 46
2025 Pennsylvania St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 810 (+8%) 15mo $18,500 $23 40
769 Ohio St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 682 (-9%) 17mo $43,000 $63 36
834 Martin Luther King Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (-10%) 21mo $5,000 $7 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$35,545
Equity at exit
$22,121
10-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$87,371
Equity at exit
$29,344

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $645/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$540

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 0.18mi
1843 Illinois St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 16d 1 0.77mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 1.02mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,362 $1.54 1d 11 1.05mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 1d 1 1.11mi
2378 Jackson St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,050 $1.56 1d 1 1.27mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 330 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 329 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 328 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 327 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 325 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 324 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 321 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 320 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 319 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 316 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 315 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 314 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 313 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 312 DOM
  15. 2026-02-26
    status Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    PERFECT STARTER HOME , or investment property, located on a very spacious corner lot!! You wont have to wait to start packing, this one is Move In Ready!! You will love the large covered front porch , where your outdoor furniture can be added, to make this a relaxed area, in warmer months . The kitchen boast plenty of cabinet space, and has plenty of windows, for streaming light. Enjoy the privacy of your backyard for summer cookouts, and the additional lot on side of home is yours also. Excellent location, near major transportation center, interstate highways, and minutes from the Miller Beach area. Make your move , there is no place like 'Home Ownership"!!

  16. 2026-02-22
    status Pending 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    PERFECT STARTER HOME , or investment property, located on a very spacious corner lot!! You wont have to wait to start packing, this one is Move In Ready!! You will love the large covered front porch , where your outdoor furniture can be added, to make this a relaxed area, in warmer months . The kitchen boast plenty of cabinet space, and has plenty of windows, for streaming light. Enjoy the privacy of your backyard for summer cookouts, and the additional lot on side of home is yours also. Excellent location, near major transportation center, interstate highways, and minutes from the Miller Beach area. Make your move , there is no place like 'Home Ownership"!!

  17. 2026-02-13
    status Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    PERFECT STARTER HOME , or investment property, located on a very spacious corner lot!! You wont have to wait to start packing, this one is Move In Ready!! You will love the large covered front porch , where your outdoor furniture can be added, to make this a relaxed area, in warmer months . The kitchen boast plenty of cabinet space, and has plenty of windows, for streaming light. Enjoy the privacy of your backyard for summer cookouts, and the additional lot on side of home is yours also. Excellent location, near major transportation center, interstate highways, and minutes from the Miller Beach area. Make your move , there is no place like 'Home Ownership"!!

  18. 2026-02-10
    status Pending 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    PERFECT STARTER HOME , or investment property, located on a very spacious corner lot!! You wont have to wait to start packing, this one is Move In Ready!! You will love the large covered front porch , where your outdoor furniture can be added, to make this a relaxed area, in warmer months . The kitchen boast plenty of cabinet space, and has plenty of windows, for streaming light. Enjoy the privacy of your backyard for summer cookouts, and the additional lot on side of home is yours also. Excellent location, near major transportation center, interstate highways, and minutes from the Miller Beach area. Make your move , there is no place like 'Home Ownership"!!

  19. 2025-07-16
    listed $65,000 Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    PERFECT STARTER HOME , or investment property, located on a very spacious corner lot!! You wont have to wait to start packing, this one is Move In Ready!! You will love the large covered front porch , where your outdoor furniture can be added, to make this a relaxed area, in warmer months . The kitchen boast plenty of cabinet space, and has plenty of windows, for streaming light. Enjoy the privacy of your backyard for summer cookouts, and the additional lot on side of home is yours also. Excellent location, near major transportation center, interstate highways, and minutes from the Miller Beach area. Make your move , there is no place like 'Home Ownership"!!

  20. 2025-06-09
    status Pending
  21. 2025-06-09
    historical
  22. 2024-11-18
    price $65,000
  23. 2024-10-07
    price $73,000
  24. 2024-06-21
    listed $78,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$645 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$645 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,608
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$645
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,169
− Management
−$1,169
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,769
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,385
After-tax cash flow
$5,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-22 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-09 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-09 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-18 Price Changed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-07 Price Changed $73,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-21 Listed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $645 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…