5740 Oakhill Rd · Sumter, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this cozy 3bd/2ba mobile home! Almost an acre lot near shopping centers and Shaw Air Force Base. * * * * * QUIT CLAIM DEED * * * * * SOLD AS-IS/ WHERE-IS * * * *
Key facts
- Acre lot
- 0.87 acre lot
- Built 2001
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property has a view; Lot approximately 0.87 acres
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built as a manufactured house
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; No exterior features listed; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Exhaust fan
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Range; Fireplace (other); Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.4% in Sumter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oakland Primary (524 students, 100% FRL); Hillcrest Middle (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #139 of 229 statewide, top 61%, 364 students, 100% FRL); Crestwood High (math 32% / reading 71%, grade D+, #146 of 196 statewide, top 75%, 1,100 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 23% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Sumter 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $80k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.63%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $17,768
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $59,286
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29154
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,213 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $546/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $460
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $482 | +0% $460 | +5% $437 | +10% $414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $364 | -5% $412 | +0% $460 | +5% $508 | +10% $555 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $500 | -0.5pp $480 | base $460 | +0.5pp $439 | +1.0pp $418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $80,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-04-26status Active
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-06status Active
-
2026-03-06historical
-
2025-11-13status Pending
-
2025-10-18price $80,000
-
2025-09-08$95,000 Active
-
2025-06-12price $95,000
-
2025-05-08price $90,000
-
2025-03-15price $95,000
-
2025-02-24price $100,000
-
2024-10-28price $110,000
-
2024-10-15price $115,000
-
2010-09-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $546 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $546 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$546
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,470
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,073
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503902
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,423
- Composite
- 19.45/100
- National rank
- #8775
- State rank
- #64 of 80 in SC
Livability — Sumter
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #19754
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sumter County · 76,912 people
- City population
- 67,992
- Metro
- Sumter, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,454
- Household income
- $62,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 104,585 people
- By 2030
- 102,282 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 96,258 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 89,592 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 74,715 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 60,235 · -42.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 36% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.65%
- Current HPI
- 157.8545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.19%
- Metro
- Sumter, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+220.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — SBOR
- 2026-04-16 Pending — SBOR
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — SBOR
- 2026-03-06 Delisted — SBOR
- 2025-11-13 Pending — SBOR
- 2025-10-18 Price Changed $80,000 SBOR
- 2025-09-08 Listed $95,000 SBOR
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $95,000 SBOR
- 2025-05-08 Price Changed $90,000 SBOR
- 2025-03-15 Price Changed $95,000 SBOR
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $100,000 SBOR
- 2024-10-28 Price Changed $110,000 SBOR
- 2024-10-15 Price Changed $115,000 SBOR
- 2010-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $546 · +62.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…