192 Sierra Cir · Gillette, WY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2002
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Eastview Estates park
Exterior
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Mobile home make: REDM
- Exterior features: No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating present
- Interior features: Washer and Dryer; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Has heating
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in WY, #820 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
- Campbell County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #30 of 41 in WY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Campbell County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.16%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $15,060
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $51,321
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82716
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,498
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $4,409
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
The home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Paint, flooring, and deck repairs are needed, along with interior updates and landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck railings — Worn and slightly damaged
- Minor Paint touch-ups — Faded paint in some areas
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated appearance
- Minor Bathroom tiles — Clean but dated tiles
- Moderate Flooring — Worn hardwood floors
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint and interior updates — Fresh paint and updated interior can attract buyers and renters alike.
- Both New flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both Deck and railings repair — Aesthetic and safety improvements can enhance curb appeal and attract buyers.
- Both HVAC system upgrade — A functional HVAC system is essential for comfort and can attract both buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior can improve the home's curb appeal and attract buyers and renters alike.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck railings · Worn and slightly damaged | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint touch-ups · Faded paint in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom tiles · Clean but dated tiles | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Worn hardwood floors | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $7,500–39,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint and interior updates — Fresh paint and updated interior can attract buyers and renters alike. ↑
- Both New flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Deck and railings repair — Aesthetic and safety improvements can enhance curb appeal and attract buyers. ↑
- Both HVAC system upgrade — A functional HVAC system is essential for comfort and can attract both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior can improve the home's curb appeal and attract buyers and renters alike. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Campbell County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5601470
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,045
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3328
- State rank
- #30 of 41 in WY
Livability — Gillette
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gillette, WY
- County
- Campbell County · 43,436 people
- City population
- 43,436
- Metro
- Gillette, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,817
- Household income
- $73,155
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 380.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,742 people
- By 2030
- 60,329 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 67,211 · +18.5%
- By 2050
- 73,621 · +29.7%
- By 2075
- 89,568 · +57.9%
- By 2100
- 99,210 · +74.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+76.8) · D 11.0% · R 87.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -61.4pp · 2024: -76.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+76.8 2020: R+76.9 2016: R+80.6 2012: R+73.2 2008: R+61.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.40%
- Current HPI
- 139.5275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gillette, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $89,900 NEWRA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…