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1213 George Ln
D+ Composite 46.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

1213 George Ln · San Angelo, TX 76905
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,665 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2010 6,534 sqft lot Est $265k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Construction

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2010

Tags

LOCATION NEAR PRODUCER PARK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built as a residential single family home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Privacy fencing; City street frontage; Paved public-maintained road; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Pantry; Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows; Window coverings; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($103/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Holiman El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 361 students, 62% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 53% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,950 (2.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.16%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,735
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1214 Johnny Ln 0.02mi 5/2.5 1,667 (+0%) 2mo $260,000 $156 97
1215 Wallace Ln 0.05mi 5/2.5 1,670 (+0%) 4mo $259,500 $155 94
1301 Elmo Ln 0.16mi 5/2.5 1,670 (+0%) 8mo $265,000 $159 85
1304 Elmo Ln 0.15mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,609 (-3%) 1mo $259,000 $161 82
1230 Elmo Ln 0.12mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,626 (-2%) 3mo $269,999 $166 81
1205 George Ln 0.05mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,581 (-5%) 3mo $237,400 $150 80
1208 George Ln 0.05mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,550 (-7%) 4mo $249,450 $161 78
1305 Johnny Ln 0.15mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,733 (+4%) 1mo $315,000 $182 78
1220 Joseph Ln 0.39mi 5/2.5 1,613 (-3%) 2mo $255,000 $158 74
1006 Gregory Dr 0.51mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,640 (-2%) 1mo $285,900 $174 66
1309 Gregory Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,541 (-7%) 2mo $242,000 $157 58
2517 Mcgill Blvd 0.63mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,486 (-11%) 9mo $234,900 $158 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-36,586
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-30,591
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76905

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,240 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$459 /mo · $5,504/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,229
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $139 -5% $74 +0% $9 +5% $-57 +10% $-122
Rent -10% $-168 -5% $-80 +0% $9 +5% $97 +10% $185
Rate -1.0pp $124 -0.5pp $67 base $9 +0.5pp $-51 +1.0pp $-112

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1221 Elmo Ln San Angelo, TX 5.0 2.5 1660 $2,295 $1.38 22d 1 0.09mi
2805 McGill Blvd San Angelo, TX 4.0 2.0 1589 $1,850 $1.16 22d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $230,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-29
    listed $230,000 Active
  6. 2024-07-19
    historical $1,750
  7. 2024-07-03
    listed $1,750
  8. 2010-04-19
    soldstatus 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    New Construction

  9. 2010-04-19
    listed $111,950 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    New Construction

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,504 · $459/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,504 · $459/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,874
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$5,504
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,150
− Management
−$2,150
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$3,654
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$877
After-tax cash flow
$980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,456
Household income
$84,712
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 17% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.60%
Current HPI
203.9934
Rent YoY
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $230,000 SAAR TX
  • 2024-07-19 Rental Removed $1,750 SAARTX
  • 2024-07-03 Listed for Rent $1,750 SAARTX
  • 2010-04-19 Listed $111,950 SAAR TX
  • 2010-04-19 Sold (MLS) SAAR TX

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,504 · +16.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…