CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8931 S Berkshire Ave
B+ Composite 76.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

8931 S Berkshire Ave · Floral City, FL 34452
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · Manufactured public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1976 1.17 ac lot Est $231k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two Bedroom 2 Bath Doublewide. Very large rooms and good closet space. Very quiet location in Popular Heatherwood. 1.17 Acre Lot that is fenced, attached carport and shed. Partially furnished.

Key facts

  • Existing septic tank
  • Paved road
  • Cleared lot

Tags

CLEARED LOTOVER AN ACRECOMPLETELY FENCEDEXISTING WELLEXISTING SEPTIC TANKPAVED ROAD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; Paved and unpaved parking areas; Total of 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Private well water
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Cleared and wooded lot; County road frontage; Paved road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; No built-in appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.4% in Floral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#573 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Floral City Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 389 students, 71% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $125k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.67%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$230,520
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8833 S Berkshire Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,352 (-0%) 13mo $229,900 $170 79
3715 E Highpoint Ln 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+12%) 21mo $225,000 $149 48
9108 S Longbranch Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,186 (-12%) 23mo $265,000 $223 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$12,568
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$53,219
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34452

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,441/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,048
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $586 -5% $551 +0% $515 +5% $480 +10% $445
Rent -10% $381 -5% $448 +0% $515 +5% $582 +10% $650
Rate -1.0pp $578 -0.5pp $547 base $515 +0.5pp $483 +1.0pp $450

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8954 S Deerstalker Ter Inverness, FL 3.0 1.0 1311 $1,700 $1.30 22d 1 0.21mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2019-04-02
    soldstatus $65,000
  19. 2019-04-01
    soldstatus $69,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Two Bedroom 2 Bath Doublewide. Very large rooms and good closet space. Very quiet location in Popular Heatherwood. 1.17 Acre Lot that is fenced, attached carport and shed. Partially furnished.

  20. 2018-11-30
    listed $69,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Two Bedroom 2 Bath Doublewide. Very large rooms and good closet space. Very quiet location in Popular Heatherwood. 1.17 Acre Lot that is fenced, attached carport and shed. Partially furnished.

  21. 1988-10-01
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,441 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,441 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,400
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,441
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,632
− Management
−$1,632
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$4,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,064
After-tax cash flow
$5,120/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Floral City

Score
67/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#10898

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,170
Population (ZIP)
13,729

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.43%
Current HPI
312.8871
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $125,000 RACC
  • 2019-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-01 Sold (MLS) $69,000 RACC
  • 2018-11-30 Listed $69,000 RACC
  • 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,441 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…