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19627 Winslow Rd Duplex
F Composite 34.48
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$429,900

19627 Winslow Rd · Shaker Heights, OH 44122
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,676 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1928 5,850 sqft lot Est $313k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Majestic 2 family brick Tudor! Features leaded glass windows, vaulted ceilings, beautiful moldings, hardwood floors throughout. Each unit offers; built-in corner cabinets with leaded glass doors in formal dining rooms, sunken living rooms, gorgeous fireplaces, separate dinettes and Butler's pantry off kitchens. Second floor unit has loft leading up to master suite with full bath. Also a finished third floor (attic) suite with full bath. In walking distance to Shaker Van Aken shopping district and more, close to RTA for convenient commuting. Buyer to assume all City of Shaker Heights POS violations. Great opportunity to own this classic beauty!

Key facts

  • Upscale kitchen
  • Leaded glass windows
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

HISTORIC WINSLOW DISTRICTLEADED GLASS WINDOWSVAULTED CEILINGSHARDWOOD FLOORSUPSCALE KITCHENBUILT-IN CORNER CABINETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.1343 acres (assessor)
  • Financial info: Tenant pays all utilities; One unit is leased for $2,335/month through January 31, 2027

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Detached garage; Off-street parking; 3-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Multifamily building with 1 building
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slate roof; Approximately 3,276 above-grade finished area (estimated); Approximately 600 below-grade finished area (estimated)
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Downstairs unit: 2 bedrooms; Upstairs unit: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms total; Downstairs unit: 1 bathroom; Upstairs unit: 3 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; 13 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×4bd/2.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $430k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-49/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $412k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $393k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $393k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Shaker Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 89/100 on livability (#15 in OH, #134 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Shaker Heights City (suburban): math 50% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #309 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,930/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 1294% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $430k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $393,000 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$313,092
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19829 Winslow Rd 0.04mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,846 (+6%) 1mo $319,000 $112 82
19239 Winslow Rd 0.13mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,656 (-1%) 5mo $217,000 $82 75
19406 Chagrin Blvd 0.14mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,942 (+10%) 2mo $352,000 $120 70
19835 Winslow Rd 0.05mi 6/4.0 (+1) 3,000 (+12%) 15mo $349,900 $117 60
18424 Newell Rd 0.50mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,688 (+0%) 9mo $310,000 $115 59
18520 Winslow Rd 0.43mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,542 (-5%) 2mo $331,600 $130 57
19229 Winslow Rd 0.14mi 6/3.0 (+1) 3,037 (+14%) 7mo $390,000 $128 56
18427 Winslow Rd 0.48mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,424 (-9%) 1mo $334,000 $138 52
18412 Winslow Rd 0.51mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,497 (-7%) 12mo $295,000 $118 46
18705 Newell Rd 0.40mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,472 (-8%) 21mo $252,500 $102 44
18423 Winslow Rd 0.49mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,975 (+11%) 13mo $326,000 $110 38
3454 Ingleside Rd 0.73mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,980 (+11%) 17mo $203,520 $68 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-82,931
Equity at exit
$64,099
10-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-107,890
Equity at exit
$37,170

Cash invested: $120,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44122

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
15.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,930 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,254
Tax from tax record
$770 /mo · $9,238/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$825
Net cashflow
$-99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,055
Max offer price $412,460
Occupancy floor 98%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 4 2 $2,282
1× unit 2 1 $1,648
Total (2 units) $3,930

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,475
Closing costs
$12,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19601 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1977 $4,400 $2.23 21d 1 0.09mi
3653 Winchell Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH 5.0 3.0 1775 $2,350 $1.32 43d 1 0.53mi
2975 Claremont Rd Shaker Heights, OH 5.0 3.0 3241 $3,200 $0.99 11d 1 0.75mi
17424 Winslow Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1995 $2,200 $1.10 16d 1 0.84mi
16818 Kenyon Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH 4.0 1.0 1900 $1,900 $1.00 4d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $429,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $429,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $429,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $429,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $429,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $429,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $429,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $429,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $429,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $429,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $429,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $429,900 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $429,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-25
    listed $429,900 Active
  15. 2026-03-09
    historical $2,300
  16. 2026-01-31
    historical $2,300
  17. 2026-01-16
    listed $2,300
  18. 2025-12-05
    historical
  19. 2025-11-06
    listed $1,500
  20. 2025-09-19
    status Active
  21. 2025-07-22
    price $439,000
  22. 2025-06-06
    listed $459,000 Active
  23. 2017-06-20
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Majestic 2 family brick Tudor! Features leaded glass windows, vaulted ceilings, beautiful moldings, hardwood floors throughout. Each unit offers; built-in corner cabinets with leaded glass doors in formal dining rooms, sunken living rooms, gorgeous fireplaces, separate dinettes and Butler's pantry off kitchens. Second floor unit has loft leading up to master suite with full bath. Also a finished third floor (attic) suite with full bath. In walking distance to Shaker Van Aken shopping district and more, close to RTA for convenient commuting. Buyer to assume all City of Shaker Heights POS violations. Great opportunity to own this classic beauty!

  24. 2017-06-16
    soldstatus $100,000
  25. 2017-05-30
    status Pending 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Majestic 2 family brick Tudor! Features leaded glass windows, vaulted ceilings, beautiful moldings, hardwood floors throughout. Each unit offers; built-in corner cabinets with leaded glass doors in formal dining rooms, sunken living rooms, gorgeous fireplaces, separate dinettes and Butler's pantry off kitchens. Second floor unit has loft leading up to master suite with full bath. Also a finished third floor (attic) suite with full bath. In walking distance to Shaker Van Aken shopping district and more, close to RTA for convenient commuting. Buyer to assume all City of Shaker Heights POS violations. Great opportunity to own this classic beauty!

  26. 2017-05-19
    listed $129,900 Active 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Majestic 2 family brick Tudor! Features leaded glass windows, vaulted ceilings, beautiful moldings, hardwood floors throughout. Each unit offers; built-in corner cabinets with leaded glass doors in formal dining rooms, sunken living rooms, gorgeous fireplaces, separate dinettes and Butler's pantry off kitchens. Second floor unit has loft leading up to master suite with full bath. Also a finished third floor (attic) suite with full bath. In walking distance to Shaker Van Aken shopping district and more, close to RTA for convenient commuting. Buyer to assume all City of Shaker Heights POS violations. Great opportunity to own this classic beauty!

  27. 1974-10-01
    soldstatus $41,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,238 · $770/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,238 · $770/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,160
− Mortgage interest
−$24,081
− Property taxes
−$9,238
− Insurance
−$2,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,773
− Management
−$3,773
− Depreciation
−$12,506
Taxable loss
−$8,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,007
After-tax cash flow
$822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shaker Heights City
NCES district ID
3904475
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$69,421
Composite
49.98/100
National rank
#1928
State rank
#309 of 656 in OH

Livability — Shaker Heights

Score
89/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#134

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shaker Heights, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
69,880
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
36,678
Household income
$101,230
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1294.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 29% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -268.81%
Current HPI
200.5087
Rent YoY
▲ 1.15%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+938.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $429,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-09 Rental Removed $2,300 RENTALBEAST
  • 2026-01-31 Rental Removed $2,300 RENTALBEAST
  • 2026-01-16 Listed for Rent $2,300 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-12-05 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-06 Listed for Rent $1,500 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-09-19 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-22 Price Changed $439,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $459,000 MLSNOW
  • 2017-06-20 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MLSNOW
  • 2017-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2017-05-30 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2017-05-19 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
  • 1974-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,238 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…