2723 145th St · Urbandale, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$414,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This walk-out two story is one you don't want to miss! Located in Waukee school disctrict and Deer Creek development. The main floor includes the kitchen with a newer stainless steel appliances, gas range, new microwave, new dishwasher (all with 3 year warranty). Refrigerator is 2 years old with 3 year warranty remaining. The main floor has new LVP that was just installed and includes a formal dining that could make a super 1st floor home office, and family room that is open to the kitchen. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms and a large loft that could be a fourth bedroom, 2 full bathrooms, and the laundry room. The large owners suite will accommodate that California king sized bed, and has a huge closet and luxurious large bathroom. The lower level is not finished and is ready for your touch. Fenced yard and with fruit trees including a apple tree waiting for you to harvest. New 16x44 deck with low maintance decking. New water heater and gas heater in the garage. This would be a nice home to make more wonderful family memories and it can be yours! All information obtained from Seller and public records.
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Flex room
- Built-in shelving
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached three-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Poured foundation; Built previously (resale)
- Exterior features: Concrete road access; Zoned residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Stove; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Basement with walk-out access; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $415k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-677 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (28.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (34.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $274k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.4% in Urbandale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
- Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Shuler Elementary School (math 91% / reading 86%, grade A+, #12 of 616 statewide, top 2%, 658 students, 7% FRL); Waukee Middle School (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #22 of 246 statewide, top 12%, 1,069 students, 12% FRL); Waukee High School (math 74% / reading 82%, grade A-, #53 of 336 statewide, top 16%, 1,268 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 381 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $353k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.00%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $456,252
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14448 Briarwood Ln | 0.10mi | 4/3.5 | 2,234 (-4%) | 4mo | $441,000 | $197 | 82 |
| 2826 147th St | 0.14mi | 4/3.5 | 2,436 (+5%) | 6mo | $450,000 | $185 | 75 |
| 14111 Oak Brook Dr | 0.31mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,309 (-0%) | 8mo | $417,500 | $181 | 73 |
| 14425 Briarwood Ln | 0.12mi | 4/3.5 | 2,112 (-9%) | 4mo | $482,500 | $228 | 72 |
| 15000 Bryn Mawr Dr | 0.26mi | 4/3.5 | 2,188 (-6%) | 3mo | $479,000 | $219 | 72 |
| 15148 Beechwood Ave | 0.38mi | 4/3.5 | 2,253 (-3%) | 3mo | $489,000 | $217 | 72 |
| 2190 NW 147th St | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,451 (+6%) | 5mo | $380,000 | $155 | 65 |
| 14312 Brookshire Dr | 0.25mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,491 (+8%) | 3mo | $460,000 | $185 | 65 |
| 14000 Buena Vista Dr | 0.37mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,219 (-4%) | 4mo | $408,900 | $184 | 63 |
| 2795 NW 153rd St | 0.54mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,408 (+4%) | 1mo | $546,000 | $227 | 58 |
| 2112 NW 148th St | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,081 (-10%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $149 | 47 |
| 2230 NW 138th St | 0.66mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,141 (-8%) | 2mo | $451,500 | $211 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $47,971
- Equity at exit
- $230,280
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $184,633
- Equity at exit
- $393,487
Cash invested: $116,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50323
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 381
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,738 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,176
- Tax from tax record
- −$492 /mo · $5,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $-677
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-442 | -5% $-560 | +0% $-677 | +5% $-795 | +10% $-912 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-894 | -5% $-785 | +0% $-677 | +5% $-569 | +10% $-461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-468 | -0.5pp $-572 | base $-677 | +0.5pp $-785 | +1.0pp $-894 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,725
- Closing costs
- $12,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14412 Holcomb Ave Urbandale, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2565 | $2,900 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 15561 Rocklyn PL Clive, IA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2445 | $2,850 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15583 Rocklyn PL Clive, IA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2445 | $3,150 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3701 161st St Urbandale, IA | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2252 | $3,150 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $414,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $414,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $414,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $414,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$414,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,900 · $492/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,207 · $517/mo
- Expected delta
- +$307/yr (+$26/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,857
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,241
- − Property taxes
- −$5,900
- − Insurance
- −$2,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,629
- − Management
- −$2,629
- − Depreciation
- −$12,070
- Taxable loss
- −$15,685
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,765
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waukee Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930510
- Math proficiency
- 80% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,580
- Composite
- 70.94/100
- National rank
- #245
- State rank
- #14 of 289 in IA
Livability — Urbandale
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #69
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urbandale, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 49,196
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,265
- Household income
- $175,944
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 63.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,904 people
- By 2030
- 127,807 · +14.2%
- By 2040
- 160,576 · +43.5%
- By 2050
- 194,154 · +73.5%
- By 2075
- 271,895 · +143.0%
- By 2100
- 326,525 · +191.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Current HPI
- 199.789
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+67.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $414,900 DMMLS
- 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $353,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $353,000 DMMLS
- 2021-10-18 Pending — DMMLS
- 2021-10-15 Listed $355,000 DMMLS
- 2004-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $248,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,900 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…