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222 Central St
B Composite 73.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$75,000

222 Central St · Humboldt, KS 66748
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,034 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1902 0.29 ac lot Est $82k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1902

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Traveling on Bridge St westbound, turn north onto 3rd St. Go 4 blocks north; the house is on the north side of the street.
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property; One-story bungalow
  • Construction: Metal siding; Composition roof; Approximately 101+ years old; About 1,034 above-grade finished area (public records)
  • Exterior features: 100 x 125 lot (12,500 sq ft); Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Bungalow floor plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($932 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#112 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Humboldt (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #148 of 169 in KS (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
  • Allen County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $75k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.45%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$81,686
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
412 N 9th St 0.43mi 2/1.0 884 (-14%) 5mo $70,000 $79 52
1218 Central St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,084 (+5%) 23mo $19,000 $18 40
820 N 11th St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,078 (+4%) 22mo $139,000 $129 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$28,954
Equity at exit
$40,142
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$76,691
Equity at exit
$67,402

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66748

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$932 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $270 -5% $244 +0% $218 +5% $192 +10% $166
Rent -10% $144 -5% $181 +0% $218 +5% $255 +10% $291
Rate -1.0pp $256 -0.5pp $237 base $218 +0.5pp $198 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 1995-11-01
    soldstatus $25,500
  4. 1994-07-01
    soldstatus $18,500
  5. 1992-07-01
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,181
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$895
− Management
−$895
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$1,509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$362
After-tax cash flow
$2,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humboldt
NCES district ID
2007590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$43,599
Composite
20.16/100
National rank
#8634
State rank
#148 of 169 in KS

Livability — Humboldt

Score
72/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#6241

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Humboldt, KS
Population (ZIP)
2,864

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,885 people
By 2030
11,352 · -4.5%
By 2040
10,285 · -13.5%
By 2050
9,342 · -21.4%
By 2075
7,482 · -37.0%
By 2100
5,871 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 25.8% · R 72.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+41.0 2012: R+27.2 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.48%
Current HPI
180.3616
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+837.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $75,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
  • 1994-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 1992-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…