Duplex
9310 177th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.79%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$818,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
LEGAL 2 FAMILY A GREAT INVESTMENT, IN A GREAT LOCATION. BETWEEN JAMAICA AVE. AND LIBERTY AVE. FEATURING 2 DISTINCT APARTMENTS: A FULL 2BR APARTMENT AND A FULL 1BR APARTMENT WITH AN ATTACHED 1 CAR GARAGE AND PRIVATE DRIVEWAY . .FEATURING WOOD FLOORS, A LARGE LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, EIK KITCHEN, BACK YARD GAS HEAT, FRONT PORCH, ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. A NEW STOVE AND A REFRIGERATOR, WITH LOTS OF [POTENTIAL EASY ACCESS TO DOWNTOWN JAMAICA STATION. BUSES AND E AND F TRAINS. .. DELIVERED UNOCCUPIED.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Driveway
- 1,425 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; One-car garage; One-car carport (1 space); Two parking spaces total
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Water connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Duplex; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Mailbox; Back yard; Near public transit; Near shops; Paved; Near school
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: First floor bedroom; First floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-through kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $818k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($231/yr) — positive. Per door: $10/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $656k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $656k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,559/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($744k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.45%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $876,900
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177-50 106th Ave | 0.31mi | 6/2.0 | 1,600 (+1%) | 1mo | $975,000 | $609 | 74 |
| 91-14 182nd St | 0.29mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,590 (+1%) | 4mo | $970,000 | $610 | 73 |
| 17124 104th Ave | 0.30mi | 6/3.0 | 1,696 (+7%) | 10mo | $720,000 | $425 | 61 |
| 17757 106th Ave | 0.30mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+1%) | 12mo | $630,000 | $394 | 61 |
| 16837 90th Ave | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 1,800 (+14%) | 9mo | $999,000 | $555 | 39 |
| 108-50 171st Pl | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-9%) | 10mo | $502,500 | $349 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-131,526
- Equity at exit
- $121,966
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-113,772
- Equity at exit
- $70,726
Cash invested: $229,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11433
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 20.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,559 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,290
- Tax from tax record
- −$465 /mo · $5,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$341
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,377
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $6,558 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $3,279 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $3,279 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,559 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $204,500
- Closing costs
- $24,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8450 159th St Jamaica, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $5,000 | $2.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $818,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $818,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $818,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $818,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $818,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $819,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $819,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $819,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $819,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $819,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $819,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $819,000
-
2026-03-17$829,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,584 · $465/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,704 · $809/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,120/yr (+$343/mo · 73.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 79% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$45,821
- − Property taxes
- −$5,584
- − Insurance
- −$4,888
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,297
- − Management
- −$6,297
- − Depreciation
- −$23,796
- Taxable loss
- −$13,974
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,354
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,884
- Household income
- $77,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1701.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.63%
- Current HPI
- 383.7055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-1.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $819,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listed $829,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,584 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…