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15 Woodneath Cres
B+ Composite 78.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

15 Woodneath Cres · East Rochester, NY 14445
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 2,178 sqft lot $156/sqft · 28% below area Est $173k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.

Key facts

  • Cement porch
  • Stucco exterior
  • Fenced front yard

Tags

HISTORIC CONCREST NEIGHBORHOODARCHITECTURAL SHINGLED ROOFSTUCCO EXTERIORCEMENT PORCHFENCED FRONT YARDPARTIALLY UPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached heated garage with automatic door opener (1 car); Underground parking access; Electricity to garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Two-story house; Existing (previously built) property; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot near public transit
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Copper plumbing; Architectural shingle roof; Poured foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on second floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Thermal windows; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Programmable thermostat; Full walk-out basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.5% in East Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#155 in NY, #2,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D.
  • East Rochester Union Free School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #371 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $104k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
10.73%
Cash-on-cash
15.84%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$172,698
List price
$124,900
Delta
-27.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Woodneath Cres 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (0%) 5mo $150,000 $188 88
2 Forest Rd 0.06mi 3/1.5 800 (0%) 22mo $145,000 $181 77
604 Grant St 0.22mi 3/1.0 832 (+4%) 9mo $80,000 $96 76
512 Mckinley St 0.13mi 3/1.0 858 (+7%) 21mo $125,000 $146 64
265 W Ivy St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+5%) 10mo $190,000 $226 61
607 Grant St 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 912 (+14%) 6mo $185,000 $203 53
417 W Filbert St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (+12%) 19mo $172,000 $192 53
121 W Filbert St 0.56mi 2/1.5 (-1) 876 (+10%) 0mo $165,000 $188 51
11 Apple St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (+11%) 12mo $165,000 $186 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$9,283
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$46,437
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14445

Home prices YoY
-9.5%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,870 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$309 /mo · $3,707/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,286
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $532 -5% $497 +0% $462 +5% $426 +10% $391
Rent -10% $314 -5% $388 +0% $462 +5% $535 +10% $609
Rate -1.0pp $525 -0.5pp $493 base $462 +0.5pp $429 +1.0pp $396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
234 W Commercial St Unit 2 East Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 640 $1,100 $1.72 44d 1 0.38mi
126 West Ave Unit UPPER East Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 820 $1,500 $1.83 20d 1 0.55mi
108 W Filbert St Unit 2 East Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,525 $1.39 3d 1 0.63mi
214 E Spruce St East Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 972 $1,750 $1.80 44d 1 0.91mi
3540 East Ave Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1261 $4,123 $3.27 3d 10 1.14mi
120 Brebeuf Dr Penfield, NY 2.0 1.0 763 $1,365 $1.79 4d 6 1.21mi
18 Brook Hill Ln Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 841 $1,915 $2.28 3d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $124,900 Active 1713-char remark
  2. 2023-03-17
    soldstatus $104,000 Closed Sale or Rented 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    * * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.

  3. 2023-03-09
    soldstatus $104,000
  4. 2023-02-17
    status Pending Sale 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    * * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.

  5. 2023-01-26
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    * * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.

  6. 2023-01-17
    listed $99,000 Active 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    * * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.

  7. 2016-09-30
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    Super Opportunity! Excellent starter home or investment property easily rented. Recent $ 10,000 of improvements including newer windows, Furnace, Paint, Carpet, & Roof. Attached garage with utility room. Garage faces McKinley St for easy access. Double lot with a front yard park setting maintained by the Village. Townhouse style living unit built completely out of Concrete including the stairs! See historic news article re; this property. Economical to purchase and maintain! Next door unit 14 also available! Could be sold also as a package deal!

  8. 2016-08-29
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    Super Opportunity! Excellent starter home or investment property easily rented. Recent $ 10,000 of improvements including newer windows, Furnace, Paint, Carpet, & Roof. Attached garage with utility room. Garage faces McKinley St for easy access. Double lot with a front yard park setting maintained by the Village. Townhouse style living unit built completely out of Concrete including the stairs! See historic news article re; this property. Economical to purchase and maintain! Next door unit 14 also available! Could be sold also as a package deal!

  9. 2016-07-28
    listed $54,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    Super Opportunity! Excellent starter home or investment property easily rented. Recent $ 10,000 of improvements including newer windows, Furnace, Paint, Carpet, & Roof. Attached garage with utility room. Garage faces McKinley St for easy access. Double lot with a front yard park setting maintained by the Village. Townhouse style living unit built completely out of Concrete including the stairs! See historic news article re; this property. Economical to purchase and maintain! Next door unit 14 also available! Could be sold also as a package deal!

  10. 2016-05-01
    historical
  11. 2016-02-15
    price $39,900
  12. 2016-01-27
    listed $44,900 Active
  13. 2016-01-24
    historical
  14. 2016-01-15
    price $44,900
  15. 2015-09-23
    listed $49,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,707 · $309/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,707 · $309/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,444
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$3,707
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,795
− Management
−$1,795
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$3,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$934
After-tax cash flow
$4,605/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Rochester Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3609930
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,308
Composite
43.23/100
National rank
#3058
State rank
#371 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Rochester

Score
78/100
State rank
#155
US rank
#2400

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
7,529
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
7,529
Household income
$73,625
Rent vs Own
40.2% rent · 59.8% own
Severe rent burden
216.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.80%
Current HPI
273.7033
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $104,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 2023-02-17 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-01-26 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2023-01-17 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-09-30 Sold (MLS) $45,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-08-29 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-28 Listed $54,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-05-01 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2016-02-15 Price Changed $39,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-01-27 Listed $44,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-01-24 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2016-01-15 Price Changed $44,900 UNYREIS
  • 2015-09-23 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,707 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…