15 Woodneath Cres · East Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.
Key facts
- Cement porch
- Stucco exterior
- Fenced front yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached heated garage with automatic door opener (1 car); Underground parking access; Electricity to garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Two-story house; Existing (previously built) property; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot near public transit
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Copper plumbing; Architectural shingle roof; Poured foundation; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on second floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Thermal windows; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Programmable thermostat; Full walk-out basement; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.5% in East Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#155 in NY, #2,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D.
- East Rochester Union Free School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #371 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.84%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,698
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -27.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Woodneath Cres | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (0%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $188 | 88 |
| 2 Forest Rd | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 800 (0%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $181 | 77 |
| 604 Grant St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 832 (+4%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $96 | 76 |
| 512 Mckinley St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 858 (+7%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $146 | 64 |
| 265 W Ivy St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+5%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $226 | 61 |
| 607 Grant St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 912 (+14%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $203 | 53 |
| 417 W Filbert St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (+12%) | 19mo | $172,000 | $192 | 53 |
| 121 W Filbert St | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 876 (+10%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $188 | 51 |
| 11 Apple St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (+11%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $186 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $9,283
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $46,437
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14445
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,870 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$309 /mo · $3,707/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $532 | -5% $497 | +0% $462 | +5% $426 | +10% $391 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $314 | -5% $388 | +0% $462 | +5% $535 | +10% $609 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $525 | -0.5pp $493 | base $462 | +0.5pp $429 | +1.0pp $396 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 W Commercial St Unit 2 East Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,100 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 126 West Ave Unit UPPER East Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,500 | $1.83 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 108 W Filbert St Unit 2 East Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 214 E Spruce St East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,750 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3540 East Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1261 | $4,123 | $3.27 | 3d | 10 | 1.14mi |
| 120 Brebeuf Dr Penfield, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,365 | $1.79 | 4d | 6 | 1.21mi |
| 18 Brook Hill Ln Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 841 | $1,915 | $2.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-13$124,900 Active 1713-char remark
-
2023-03-17soldstatus $104,000 Closed Sale or Rented 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
* * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.
-
2023-03-09soldstatus $104,000
-
2023-02-17status Pending Sale 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
* * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.
-
2023-01-26historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
* * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.
-
2023-01-17$99,000 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
* * DELAYED NEGOTIATONS UNTIL THURSDAY JAN 26 AT NOON * * Enter this Concrest neighborhood designed by Kate Gleason to replicate a French village. Community of park trees, picnic grounds, basketball courts, for much enjoyment of residents. New carpets, new flooring, fresh interior paint. Walk to shopping, restaurants, post office & all village amenities. Garage faces McKinley.
-
2016-09-30soldstatus $45,000 Closed Sale or Rented
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Super Opportunity! Excellent starter home or investment property easily rented. Recent $ 10,000 of improvements including newer windows, Furnace, Paint, Carpet, & Roof. Attached garage with utility room. Garage faces McKinley St for easy access. Double lot with a front yard park setting maintained by the Village. Townhouse style living unit built completely out of Concrete including the stairs! See historic news article re; this property. Economical to purchase and maintain! Next door unit 14 also available! Could be sold also as a package deal!
-
2016-08-29status Pending Sale
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Super Opportunity! Excellent starter home or investment property easily rented. Recent $ 10,000 of improvements including newer windows, Furnace, Paint, Carpet, & Roof. Attached garage with utility room. Garage faces McKinley St for easy access. Double lot with a front yard park setting maintained by the Village. Townhouse style living unit built completely out of Concrete including the stairs! See historic news article re; this property. Economical to purchase and maintain! Next door unit 14 also available! Could be sold also as a package deal!
-
2016-07-28$54,900 Active
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Super Opportunity! Excellent starter home or investment property easily rented. Recent $ 10,000 of improvements including newer windows, Furnace, Paint, Carpet, & Roof. Attached garage with utility room. Garage faces McKinley St for easy access. Double lot with a front yard park setting maintained by the Village. Townhouse style living unit built completely out of Concrete including the stairs! See historic news article re; this property. Economical to purchase and maintain! Next door unit 14 also available! Could be sold also as a package deal!
-
2016-05-01historical
-
2016-02-15price $39,900
-
2016-01-27$44,900 Active
-
2016-01-24historical
-
2016-01-15price $44,900
-
2015-09-23$49,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,707 · $309/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,707 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$3,707
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,795
- − Management
- −$1,795
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $3,892
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$934
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Rochester Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609930
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,308
- Composite
- 43.23/100
- National rank
- #3058
- State rank
- #371 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Rochester
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #2400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 7,529
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,529
- Household income
- $73,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.80%
- Current HPI
- 273.7033
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+150.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $104,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-17 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2023-01-26 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2023-01-17 Listed $99,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-09-30 Sold (MLS) $45,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-08-29 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-07-28 Listed $54,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-01 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-02-15 Price Changed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-01-27 Listed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-01-24 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-01-15 Price Changed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-09-23 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,707 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…