1005 NE 145th St · North Miami, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$390,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. THE CHEAPEST HOUSE IN THE POINCIANNA MANOR SUBDIVISION. FIX AND FLIP, FIRST TIME HOME BUY OR SMALL INVESTORS, ALL ARE WELCOMED
Key facts
- 7,740 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Resale property
- Construction: Block construction; Flat roof
- Exterior features: Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First floor entry; Bedroom on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $390k).
- Recommended offer: $378k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.1% in North Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in FL, #914 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,515/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $265k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.62%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $524,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1221 NE 147th St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 897 (-10%) | 24mo | $470,000 | $524 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-58,996
- Equity at exit
- $58,150
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-78,842
- Equity at exit
- $33,720
Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33161
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,515 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$666 /mo · $7,992/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$948
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,500
- Closing costs
- $11,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-10status Active
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-22price $390,000
-
2026-02-25price $420,000
-
2026-02-17$425,000 Active
-
2025-08-08historical
-
2025-04-16$385,000 Active
-
2024-03-22historical
-
2024-03-10$420,000 Active
-
2012-03-29$105,000
-
2006-03-27soldstatus $265,000
-
2005-03-09$270,000
-
2003-09-13soldstatus $124,900
-
1995-09-29soldstatus $67,000
-
1980-10-01soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,992 · $666/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,992 · $666/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,846
- − Property taxes
- −$7,992
- − Insurance
- −$7,069
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,335
- − Management
- −$4,335
- − Depreciation
- −$11,345
- Taxable loss
- −$2,738
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #914
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 99,437
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,814
- Household income
- $58,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3226.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% White 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 35% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 41% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -492.86%
- Current HPI
- 630.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+609.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $390,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $420,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $425,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-08 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Listed $385,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-22 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-03-10 Listed $420,000 MARMLS
- 2012-03-29 Listed $105,000 MARMLS
- 2006-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-09 Listed $270,000 MARMLS
- 2003-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
- 1995-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1980-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,992 · +68.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…