4306 KENNEDY Blvd #10 · Union City, NJ
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly renovated 2-bedroom + den. Flooded with natural light in all rooms--master features sunset views over the Meadowlands and living room has NYC views! Hardwood floors, slip/moisture resistant porcelain tiles, new white Shaker cabinets, new stainless steel appliances, and Calacatta Quartz countertops complete this package. Be in NYC in less than 25 mins! NYC buses right outside your door and 6 minute walk from the Light Rail station. Includes a new water heater, office space/den, low maintenance fees, low property taxes, and sits atop a new 5-star coffee shop. Condo currently has exceptional month-to-month tenants in place paying $1745/month who have never been late on rent.
Key facts
- Porcelain tiles
- Nyc views
- Sunset views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance fee of $351; Management by Hunter Homes LLC; Maintenance fee includes water
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 1 car; Assigned off-street parking rented from the association
- Utilities: Water included in maintenance fee
- Home design: Condominium unit in Townhall Condominium; Located between 43rd and 44th Street in Union City
- Construction: Brick exterior; Lead paint form: Yes
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; New York view; Near bus service; Assigned off-street parking space next to the building (rented from the association)
Interior
- Kitchen: One kitchen; Includes microwave, refrigerator, gas oven/range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on level 1)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on level 1)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window A/C
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas oven/range
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-343 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (20.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.3% in Union City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#117 in NJ, #2,998 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living F.
- Union City School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #399 of 472 in NJ (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Theodore Roosevelt Elementary School (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #973 of 1,303 statewide, top 75%, 919 students, 89% FRL); Union Hill Middle School (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #321 of 431 statewide, top 77%, 849 students, 91% FRL); Union City High School (math 12% / reading 35%, grade F, #331 of 399 statewide, top 83%, 3,025 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 228 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $200k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.98%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $133,797
- Equity at exit
- $265,759
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.86×
- Total profit
- $401,821
- Equity at exit
- $573,120
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07087
- Home prices YoY
- 9.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,535 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$324 /mo · $3,894/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$351
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $-343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-176 | -5% $-259 | +0% $-343 | +5% $-426 | +10% $-510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-543 | -5% $-443 | +0% $-343 | +5% $-243 | +10% $-142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-194 | -0.5pp $-268 | base $-343 | +0.5pp $-419 | +1.0pp $-497 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4901 Bergenline Ave West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $4,445 | $4.78 | 0d | 8 | 0.32mi |
| 121 41st St #1 Union City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 553 | $2,300 | $4.16 | 19d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 213 48th St Unit 4A Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 360 | $1,825 | $5.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 508 51st St West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $3,784 | $4.16 | 0d | 10 | 0.41mi |
| 210 36th St Unit 3L Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4701 Park Ave Unit 2B Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,725 | $2.88 | 26d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 115 37th St Unit 102 Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,500 | $4.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5406 Bergenline Ave West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 603 55th St Apt 302 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $1,900 | $2.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5309 Hudson Ave West New York, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,095 | $2.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 318 54th St West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $2,225 | $3.60 | 11d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 318 54th St West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $2,225 | $3.39 | 14d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 4914 Park Ave Unit 2F Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,990 | $3.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 318 54th St Unit 1H West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $2,250 | $3.53 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 407 56th St Unit 308 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 231 32nd St Unit 412 Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $2,815 | $4.12 | 8d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 29 51st St Unit D4 Weehawken Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,350 | $3.13 | 26d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2705 Central Ave Unit 1 Union City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,300 | $4.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2709 Bergenline Ave Unit 3B Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5665 John F. Kennedy Blvd North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $3,395 | $3.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5711 Washington St #404 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,450 | $3.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd Unit 234 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,515 | $3.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd #404 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,510 | $3.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd Unit 228 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,492 | $3.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd Unit 534 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,607 | $3.54 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd #203 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $2,469 | $3.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd Unit 304 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,483 | $3.37 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2626 Grand Ave North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,522 | $3.42 | 0d | 6 | 0.78mi |
| 5711 John F. Kennedy Blvd #434 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,561 | $3.48 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5414 Park Ave Unit 31 West New York, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,395 | $3.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1300 Avenue At Port Imperial Weehawken, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 968 | $4,984 | $5.15 | 0d | 18 | 0.78mi |
| 303 58th St Unit 14 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,695 | $2.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 221 Jane St #1 Weehawken, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,100 | $3.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1100 Avenue At Port Imperial Weehawken, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $6,058 | $6.55 | 0d | 19 | 0.81mi |
| 5817 Jefferson St #305 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5817 Jefferson St Unit 205 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 26d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Avenue At Port Imperial Weehawken, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $5,249 | $5.74 | 0d | 20 | 0.81mi |
| 900 Ave At Port Imperial Blvd Weehawken, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $6,320 | $7.98 | 0d | 25 | 0.82mi |
| 117 57th St #2 West New York, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,100 | $3.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5903 Jefferson St #302 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,250 | $3.02 | 26d | 1 | 0.84mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $351 · $4,212/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $295,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 526-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 506-char remark
-
2026-06-16$295,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,894 · $324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,620 · $468/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,726/yr (+$144/mo · 44.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,422
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$3,894
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,434
- − Management
- −$2,434
- − HOA
- −$4,212
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$9,133
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,192
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,210
- Composite
- 21.55/100
- National rank
- #8312
- State rank
- #399 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Union City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #2998
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union City, NJ
- County
- Hudson County · 718,323 people
- City population
- 66,463
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,463
- Household income
- $64,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6042.0
Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 771,834 people
- By 2030
- 818,028 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 907,866 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 994,480 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 1,163,301 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,254,703 · +62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 28% White 10% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 9% Dominican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 74% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hudson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.10%
- Current HPI
- 597.8126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.89%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+55.3% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $295,000 HCMLS
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $285,000 HCMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $315,000 HCMLS
- 2021-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-16 Sold (MLS) $200,000 HCMLS
- 2021-11-16 Sold (MLS) $200,000 NJMLS
- 2021-10-06 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2021-10-06 Contingent — NJMLS
- 2021-09-17 Listed $184,900 HCMLS
- 2021-09-17 Listed $184,900 NJMLS
- 2019-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $147,500 Public Records
- 2019-05-07 Sold (MLS) $147,500 HCMLS
- 2019-03-01 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2019-03-01 Relisted — HCMLS
- 2019-02-18 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2019-02-04 Listed $147,500 HCMLS
- 1995-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,894 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…