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124 Le Roy St
B Composite 74.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$74,700

124 Le Roy St · River Rouge, MI 48218
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1914 3,485 sqft lot Est $92k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is being SOLD AS-IS. Buyer to assume all repairs. FHA and VA financing are welcome; however, seller will make no repairs, including any lender-required repairs. BATVAI

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1914

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Sewer available; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 30 x 110 (0.08 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Ground-level entry with steps

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($906 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($516 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 20 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $75k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,459 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.97%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 Burke St 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (+1%) 1mo $45,625 $44 78
251 Richter St 0.27mi 3/1.0 974 (-4%) 5mo $87,700 $90 76
111 Burke St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-2%) 5mo $24,000 $24 73
235 Goodell St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,092 (+7%) 4mo $147,000 $135 71
294 Richter St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+4%) 6mo $123,000 $116 71
42 E Henry St 0.25mi 3/1.0 916 (-10%) 0mo $115,000 $126 71
235 Richter St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+13%) 1mo $45,625 $40 67
59 E Pleasant St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+11%) 11mo $85,000 $75 64
332 Richter St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,056 (+4%) 12mo $101,000 $96 59
287 Richter St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+12%) 6mo $120,000 $105 59
251 Beechwood St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+13%) 4mo $30,000 $26 41
208 Fairmont St 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,166 (+14%) 10mo $80,000 $69 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$51,786
Equity at exit
$67,296
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
7.88×
Total profit
$143,851
Equity at exit
$145,126

Cash invested: $20,916 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48218

Home prices YoY
28.4%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$906 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$392
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $74,700
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,675
Closing costs
$2,241
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 24d 1 0.12mi
17 W James St Unit 17 W James Lower River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 14d 1 0.46mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,120 $1.21 43d 1 0.88mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 24d 1 0.88mi
3801 18th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,150 $0.96 17d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,700 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,700 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,700 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,700 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,700 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,700 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,700 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,700 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $74,700 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,700 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $74,700 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,700 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,700 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $79,700 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Property is being SOLD AS-IS. Buyer to assume all repairs. FHA and VA financing are welcome; however, seller will make no repairs, including any lender-required repairs. BATVAI

  15. 2026-05-19
    price $79,700
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Property is being SOLD AS-IS. Buyer to assume all repairs. FHA and VA financing are welcome; however, seller will make no repairs, including any lender-required repairs. BATVAI

  16. 2026-05-07
    listed $89,700 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Property is being SOLD AS-IS. Buyer to assume all repairs. FHA and VA financing are welcome; however, seller will make no repairs, including any lender-required repairs. BATVAI

  17. 2026-05-07
    listed $89,700 Active
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Property is being SOLD AS-IS. Buyer to assume all repairs. FHA and VA financing are welcome; however, seller will make no repairs, including any lender-required repairs. BATVAI

  18. 2026-04-23
    historical
  19. 2026-04-01
    status Active
  20. 2026-03-31
    historical
  21. 2026-03-18
    listed $99,700 Active
  22. 2026-03-17
    listed $99,700 Active
  23. 2021-03-12
    soldstatus $45,000
  24. 2021-03-04
    soldstatus $45,000 Sold
  25. 2021-03-04
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed
  26. 2021-02-23
    status Pending
  27. 2021-02-23
    status Pending
  28. 2021-01-26
    price $53,000
  29. 2021-01-25
    price $53,000
  30. 2021-01-15
    status Active
  31. 2021-01-13
    historical
  32. 2020-12-07
    listed $59,900 Active
  33. 2020-12-07
    listed $59,900 Active
  34. 2020-12-05
    historical $59,900
  35. 2020-12-05
    historical $59,900
  36. 2009-08-06
    soldstatus $5,000
  37. 2009-08-06
    soldstatus $5,000
  38. 2008-08-06
    soldstatus $5,000
  39. 2008-07-18
    historical
  40. 2008-05-13
    listed $5,000
  41. 2008-05-13
    listed $5,000
  42. 2008-05-13
    listed $5,000
  43. 2008-02-14
    historical
  44. 2008-02-14
    historical
  45. 2008-01-18
    historical
  46. 2007-11-26
    listed $19,900
  47. 2007-11-26
    listed $19,900
  48. 2007-11-07
    listed $9,900
  49. 2007-11-07
    listed $9,900
  50. 2004-12-14
    soldstatus $34,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,872
− Mortgage interest
−$4,184
− Property taxes
−$1,428
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$870
− Management
−$870
− Depreciation
−$2,173
Taxable income
$973
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$234
After-tax cash flow
$1,853/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Rouge School District
NCES district ID
2629760
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$26,664
Composite
5.29/100
National rank
#10033
State rank
#535 of 540 in MI

Livability — River Rouge

Score
65/100
State rank
#454
US rank
#12700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
River Rouge, MI
City population
7,096
Population (ZIP)
7,096

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 34% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 77.93%
Current HPI
352.3551
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.7% since first listed
47 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $79,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $79,700 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $89,700 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $89,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $99,700 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $99,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-04 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-04 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-02-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-26 Price Changed $53,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-25 Price Changed $53,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-15 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-12-07 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-12-07 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2020-12-05 Coming Soon $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-12-05 Coming Soon $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-08-06 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-08-06 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-06 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-05-13 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-13 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-05-13 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-02-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-02-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-01-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-26 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-26 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-07 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-07 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-12-14 Sold (MLS) $34,200 REALCOMP
  • 2004-07-23 Listed $34,200 REALCOMP
  • 2003-09-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-05-29 Listed $63,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-29 Listed $63,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $52,400 Public Records
  • 2001-07-31 Sold (MLS) $52,400 REALCOMP
  • 2001-07-31 Sold (MLS) $52,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-07-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-06-09 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-06-09 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,428 · -27.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…