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1205-07 Lancaster Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 75.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

1205-07 Lancaster Ave · Syracuse, NY 13210
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,808 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1928 7,000 sqft lot $107/sqft · 39% below area Est $494k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This 2 Family home has been loved and cared for by the same family since 1952! In a prime location on Lancaster Ave near Syracuse University. The owner lived on the 1st floor and the 2nd floor will be vacant prior to closing. The units are nearly identical, each with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, an enclosed front porch, living room with fireplace and built-in shelving, good size eat-in kitchen, and big dining room that could also be used as a family room. There is central air conditioning and a generator for the 1st floor. The home also has: stairs to a full attic, a full basement, and a 2 car garage, plus ample parking for multiple vehicles behind the home. The property is For Sale only, it

Key facts

  • Big dining room
  • Built-in shelving
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACEBUILT-IN SHELVINGGOOD SIZE EAT-IN KITCHENBIG DINING ROOMCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Operating expense details referenced in remarks
  • Financial info: Property configured as a two-unit building with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; One unit is month-to-month (lease for that unit expires August 15, 2026); Unit rents reported around $1,000 for one unit; other unit rent not specified; Owner pays grounds care; tenants pay all utilities; rent includes common area maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage plus two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Existing construction
  • Construction: Block foundation; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot (approximately 50 x 140); City street frontage; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring types
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Full walk-out basement; Two fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $569/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,746/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2307% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $300,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.27%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$493,638
List price
$300,000
Delta
-39.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
519 Clarendon St #21 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,744 (-2%) 6mo $286,000 $104 58
814 Ackerman Ave 0.55mi 6/2.0 2,702 (-4%) 14mo $360,000 $133 57
105 Robert Dr 0.56mi 6/3.0 2,677 (-5%) 14mo $395,000 $148 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$43,623
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$221,092
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13210

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Rents YoY
11.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,746 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,466/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$787
Net cashflow
$1,139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,304
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,309 -5% $1,224 +0% $1,139 +5% $1,054 +10% $969
Rent -10% $843 -5% $991 +0% $1,139 +5% $1,287 +10% $1,435
Rate -1.0pp $1,290 -0.5pp $1,215 base $1,139 +0.5pp $1,061 +1.0pp $982

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,746

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
750 Euclid Ave Syracuse, NY 5.0 2.0 2736 $4,100 $1.50 45d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 762-char remark
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $300,000 Active 762-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,466 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,268 · $272/mo
Expected delta
+$1,802/yr (+$150/mo · 122.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,952
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,466
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,596
− Management
−$3,596
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$9,261
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,223
After-tax cash flow
$11,444/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,803
Household income
$41,738
Rent vs Own
70.6% rent · 29.4% own
Severe rent burden
2307.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 18% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
78% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.59%
Current HPI
378.0277
Rent YoY
▲ 11.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $300,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,466 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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