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201 Melrose Dr
C- Composite 51.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

201 Melrose Dr · Texarkana, TX 75501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,023 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market
10,018 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfortable living with a cozy gas log fireplace and a spacious 2-car garage. Located in the highly sought-after TISD, it's just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. A perfect blend of comfort, location, and functionality. This home is ready to welcome its next owner.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 113 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Patio; Corner lot; Paved city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Breakfast bar; Gas-log fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
  • Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,845/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1289% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
7.59%
Cash-on-cash
4.65%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-17,254
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,261
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75501

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,845 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$379 /mo · $4,544/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,626
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $264 -5% $219 +0% $173 +5% $128 +10% $83
Rent -10% $28 -5% $101 +0% $173 +5% $246 +10% $319
Rate -1.0pp $254 -0.5pp $214 base $173 +0.5pp $132 +1.0pp $90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3320 Robin Ln Unit 12 Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.5 2704 $1,599 $0.59 44d 1 1.14mi
2 Fernwood Dr Unit A Texarkana, TX 4.0 3.5 2041 $2,200 $1.08 44d 1 1.33mi
3478 Brooke Pl Unit 3427 Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,600 $1.11 44d 1 1.34mi
7 Fernwood Dr Unit A Texarkana, TX 4.0 2.0 2087 $3,249 $1.56 44d 1 1.36mi
6 Fernwood Dr Unit B Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.5 1691 $1,695 $1.00 44d 1 1.36mi
3808 Moores Ln Texarkana, TX 4.0 2.0 2617 $2,400 $0.92 44d 1 1.40mi
3 Sidney Dr Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.0 1951 $1,950 $1.00 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $160,000
  3. 2026-01-07
    listed $170,000 Active
  4. 2017-07-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,544 · $379/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,544 · $379/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,144
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$4,544
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,772
− Management
−$1,772
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$360
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$86
After-tax cash flow
$2,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texarkana ISD
NCES district ID
4842480
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,692
Composite
31.87/100
National rank
#5867
State rank
#472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

Score
77/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Texarkana, TX
County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
City population
61,238
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
34,866
Household income
$45,995
Rent vs Own
42.9% rent · 57.1% own
Severe rent burden
1289.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.14%
Current HPI
147.9402
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending TBOR
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $160,000 TBOR
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $170,000 TBOR
  • 2017-07-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,544 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…