Duplex
2019 15th Ave · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Units A and B, Upstairs and downstairs. Utilities are included in rent on this duplex. Property is one of 3 properties available that are adjacent to each other. 1440 21st St 15th Ave and 2023 15th Ave are also available with this property. A total of 7 units. $6800+ rent potential. Both of these units are occupied. These units have window unit AC and electric space heat.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Residential income property (duplex)
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; Directions: South on Cherokee Ave, right on Garrard Street, then right on 15th Ave; property on left; Located in the Hillhouse subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Electric heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $311/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.51%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $15,325
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $51,541
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31901
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,202/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $622
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $696 | -5% $659 | +0% $622 | +5% $585 | +10% $549 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $476 | -5% $549 | +0% $622 | +5% $695 | +10% $768 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $688 | -0.5pp $655 | base $622 | +0.5pp $589 | +1.0pp $554 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,846 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $923 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $923 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,846 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1908 Garrard St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $1,600 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1510 28th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $800 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2922 Howard Ave Unit 3 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $795 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1503 11th Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1514 Forest Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $840 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2908 10th Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2232 | $2,000 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1258 Cedar Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1219 Eberhart Ave Unit 2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1192 Munro Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $1,750 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 707 28th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1706 Wells Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $1,850 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1521 Dixon Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1111 Henry Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3822 Howard Ave Unit A Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1241 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2750 Mimosa St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1357 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2801 Fern St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2834 Mimosa St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1257 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3909 Crestview Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1401 Coffee Ct Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-15$130,000 Active
-
2024-12-19historical $1,200
-
2024-12-06price $1,200
-
2024-11-09$1,300
-
2024-09-17historical $1,300
-
2024-09-12$1,400
-
2023-12-06historical $1,395
-
2023-11-16$1,395
-
2022-09-19soldstatus $195,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,202 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,202 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,202
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $5,692
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,366
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,841
- Household income
- $51,424
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 598.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 32% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.58%
- Current HPI
- 122.9139
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-33.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — CBOR
- 2026-05-15 Listed $130,000 CBOR
- 2024-12-19 Rental Removed $1,200 CBOR
- 2024-12-06 Price Changed $1,200 CBOR
- 2024-11-09 Listed for Rent $1,300 CBOR
- 2024-09-17 Rental Removed $1,300 CBOR
- 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,400 CBOR
- 2023-12-06 Rental Removed $1,395 CBOR
- 2023-11-16 Listed for Rent $1,395 CBOR
- 2022-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,202 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…