8760 W Middleton St · Hatfield, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$204,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-426/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (27.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $148k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#438 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
- Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $106k; list at $205k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.74%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,962
- List price
- $204,999
- Delta
- -17.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1146 N Green Acres St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,387 (-0%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $108 | 73 |
| 1148 N County Road 900 W | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-13%) | 12mo | $142,000 | $117 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $14,942
- Equity at exit
- $84,320
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $65,693
- Equity at exit
- $124,140
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47634
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,479 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $521/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $81 | -5% $23 | +0% $-35 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-152 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-35 | +5% $23 | +10% $81 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $68 | -0.5pp $17 | base $-35 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $204,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $204,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $204,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $204,999 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $204,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $204,999 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$214,900 Active
-
2021-01-13soldstatus $106,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.
-
2021-01-13soldstatus $106,000
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.
-
2020-08-24$119,000
-
2020-08-23$109,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.
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2020-07-14$129,900
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2020-02-18soldstatus $20,000
-
2019-09-21$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $521 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,132 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$611/yr (+$51/mo · 117.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,747
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$521
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,420
- − Management
- −$1,420
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$4,085
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$980
- After-tax cash flow
- $555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Spencer County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810560
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,220
- Composite
- 42.49/100
- National rank
- #3208
- State rank
- #58 of 301 in IN
Livability — Hatfield
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #15721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hatfield, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,101
Population outlook (Spencer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,394 people
- By 2030
- 19,912 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 18,592 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 17,051 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 14,010 · -31.3%
- By 2100
- 10,869 · -46.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% English 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spencer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.4% · R 70.6% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.6pp toward R · 2008: 0.4pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+15.3 2008: D+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Current HPI
- 210.8511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+974.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $214,900 IRMLS
- 2021-01-13 Sold (MLS) $106,000 GORAMLS
- 2021-01-13 Sold (MLS) $106,000 IRMLS
- 2020-08-24 Listed $119,000 GORAMLS
- 2020-08-23 Listed $109,900 IRMLS
- 2020-07-14 Listed $129,900 IRMLS
- 2020-02-18 Sold (MLS) $20,000 IRMLS
- 2019-09-21 Listed $20,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+25.7%/yrLatest (2023): $521 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…