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8760 W Middleton St
C- Composite 51.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$204,999

8760 W Middleton St · Hatfield, IN 47634
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,394 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1960 0.27 ac lot $147/sqft · 5% above area Est $248k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-426/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (27.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#438 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $106k; list at $205k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,895 (27.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.74%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,962
List price
$204,999
Delta
-17.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1146 N Green Acres St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,387 (-0%) 21mo $150,000 $108 73
1148 N County Road 900 W 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,216 (-13%) 12mo $142,000 $117 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$14,942
Equity at exit
$84,320
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$65,693
Equity at exit
$124,140

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47634

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,479 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $521/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,524
Max offer price $198,733
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $81 -5% $23 +0% $-35 +5% $-93 +10% $-152
Rent -10% $-152 -5% $-94 +0% $-35 +5% $23 +10% $81
Rate -1.0pp $68 -0.5pp $17 base $-35 +0.5pp $-89 +1.0pp $-143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $204,999 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $204,999 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $204,999 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $204,999 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $204,999 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $204,999 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $204,999 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $204,999 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $204,999 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $204,999 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $204,999 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $204,999 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $204,999 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $204,999 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,999 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $204,999 Active 43 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $214,900 Active
  18. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus $106,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.

  19. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus $106,000
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.

  20. 2020-08-24
    listed $119,000
  21. 2020-08-23
    listed $109,900 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Ready to move in brick home in Hatfield, IN. Includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, Kitchen with all appliances ( new refrigerator and dishwasher), all new floor covering including engineered hardwood, 1.5 car attached garage, large back yard which is mostly fenced, rear deck, and a gas tankless water heater. Also include a brand new roof.

  22. 2020-07-14
    listed $129,900
  23. 2020-02-18
    soldstatus $20,000
  24. 2019-09-21
    listed $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$521 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$611/yr (+$51/mo · 117.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,747
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$521
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,420
− Management
−$1,420
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$4,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$980
After-tax cash flow
$555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Spencer County School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810560
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,220
Composite
42.49/100
National rank
#3208
State rank
#58 of 301 in IN

Livability — Hatfield

Score
63/100
State rank
#438
US rank
#15721

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hatfield, IN
Population (ZIP)
2,101

Population outlook (Spencer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,394 people
By 2030
19,912 · -2.4%
By 2040
18,592 · -8.8%
By 2050
17,051 · -16.4%
By 2075
14,010 · -31.3%
By 2100
10,869 · -46.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% English 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spencer

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.4% · R 70.6% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-43.6pp toward R · 2008: 0.4pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+15.3 2008: D+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.31%
Current HPI
210.8511
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+974.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $214,900 IRMLS
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (MLS) $106,000 GORAMLS
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (MLS) $106,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-08-24 Listed $119,000 GORAMLS
  • 2020-08-23 Listed $109,900 IRMLS
  • 2020-07-14 Listed $129,900 IRMLS
  • 2020-02-18 Sold (MLS) $20,000 IRMLS
  • 2019-09-21 Listed $20,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+25.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $521 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…