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906 Jefferson St
D+ Composite 46.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$21,900

906 Jefferson St · Bridgeport, IL 62417
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,127 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1920 0.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bungalow style home with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, living room, dining room and kitchen. A pole barn is located behind the home and large open lot to the right of the home.

Key facts

  • Pole barn
  • Large open lot
  • Bungalow style home

Tags

BUNGALOW STYLE HOMEPOLE BARNLARGE OPEN LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling system
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#682 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Red Hill CUSD 10 (town): math 17% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #294 of 620 in IL (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bridgeport Grade School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #336 of 2,056 statewide, top 18%, 363 students, 0% FRL); Red Hill Jr/Sr High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 366 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $151 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $498 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $21,571 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.83%
Cap rate
41.67%
Cash-on-cash
126.35%
DSCR
6.62
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.24×
Total profit
$38,286
Equity at exit
$3,981
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.19×
Total profit
$87,043
Equity at exit
$3,146

Cash invested: $6,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62417

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$115
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $797/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$646

Break-even live

Break-even rent $241
Max offer price $21,900
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,475
Closing costs
$657
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $21,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $21,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $21,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $21,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $21,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $21,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $21,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $21,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $21,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $21,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $21,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 173-char remark
  13. 2026-06-01
    listed $21,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$797 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$797 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,699
− Mortgage interest
−$1,227
− Property taxes
−$797
− Insurance
−$110
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,016
− Management
−$1,016
− Depreciation
−$637
Taxable income
$7,897
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,895
After-tax cash flow
$5,853/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Red Hill CUSD 10
NCES district ID
1722130
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,821
Composite
23.27/100
National rank
#7929
State rank
#294 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
64/100
State rank
#682
US rank
#13956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, IL
City population
2,653
Population (ZIP)
2,653

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,664 people
By 2030
15,378 · -1.8%
By 2040
14,897 · -4.9%
By 2050
14,267 · -8.9%
By 2075
12,048 · -23.1%
By 2100
9,538 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.0% · R 77.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-50.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.9pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+54.0 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.27%
Current HPI
110.7865
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $21,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+19.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $797 · +765.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…