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A- Composite 81.11
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$59,999

4040 Auburn Way S #50 · Auburn, WA 98092
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Manufactured · 190 Days on market
Built 1964 ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Remodeled manufactured home located in an all-ages mobile home park. It's ready to move in, cozy and beautiful. It offers updated kitchen, flooring, paint, windows, doors, cabinets, tankless water heater and split A/C and heating system. Plenty of space for parking front and back of the unit and it has space for gardening. Enjoy the big deck and the newer appliances; this home has it all!

Key facts

  • Newer appliances
  • Big deck
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

REMODELED MANUFACTURED HOMEUPDATED KITCHENTANKLESS WATER HEATERSPLIT A/C AND HEATING SYSTEMBIG DECKNEWER APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Buyer to verify schools; Bus line nearby
  • Financial info: Land lease amount $950; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed; Located in Wildwood Estate Mobile Park; Park approved for sale; Land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Uncovered parking
  • Utilities: Electric and natural gas; Public/community water; Power: PSE; Tankless water heater (located in bathroom)
  • Home design: Manufactured single wide home; Updated/remodeled condition; One level; Model CHMN; Mobile home remains; Tie down foundation
  • Construction: Wood construction; Wood skirt; Composition roof; Torch down roof
  • Exterior features: Wood products exterior; Patio/Porch/Deck; Common area (manufactured home park)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Radiant heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Water heater; Tankless water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $52,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.21%
Cap rate
28.40%
Cash-on-cash
78.95%
DSCR
4.51
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
86.3%
Equity multiple
6.80×
Total profit
$97,460
Equity at exit
$54,052
10-year hold
IRR
79.9%
Equity multiple
14.19×
Total profit
$221,611
Equity at exit
$116,565

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98092

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$1,105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $59,999
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2901 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 667 $2,175 $3.26 1d 20 0.83mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,999 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-05-02
    price $59,999
  3. 2026-04-09
    price $55,999
  4. 2026-04-07
    price $55,000
  5. 2026-03-31
    price $58,000
  6. 2026-03-27
    status Active
  7. 2026-03-27
    historical
  8. 2026-03-23
    price $60,000
  9. 2026-02-27
    price $65,000
  10. 2026-01-30
    price $70,000
  11. 2026-01-20
    price $73,000
  12. 2025-12-10
    price $75,000
  13. 2025-11-22
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥87°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,087
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$13,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,141
After-tax cash flow
$10,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
50,224
Household income
$122,300
Rent vs Own
25.7% rent · 74.3% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 14% Two or more races 13% Native American 4% Black 3% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.75%
Current HPI
1554.06
Rent YoY
▼ -0.46%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $59,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $55,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $58,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $73,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-22 Listed $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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