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10402 State Route 149
A- Composite 81.33
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,900

10402 State Route 149 · Fort Ann, NY 12827
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1988

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This sale is for: 10402 State Route 149 Fort Ann, NY 12827. Private Sale for a AS IS home Seller is motivated Willing to accept offers close to fair market pricing. Please leave a voice-mail if no answer. Affordable 1-acre residential property located on State Route 149 in Fort Ann, NY, offering a country setting while still being close to the Lake George and Queensbury area. This property already has septic and electric hookup in place, making it a strong option for someone looking to renovate the existing trailer, remove it and place a new manufactured home, use the site seasonally, or create a simple Adirondack-area getaway. The existing trailer is included as-is. Buyer may keep, reno

Key facts

  • Built 1988
  • Listed 8 days

Tags

1 ACRE RESIDENTIAL PROPERTYSEPTIC AND ELECTRIC HOOKUPEXISTING TRAILER INCLUDEDREADY RESIDENTIAL SITEADIRONDACK AREA RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Ann Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #231 of 755 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $60k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.44%
Cash-on-cash
36.25%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.1%
Equity multiple
4.87×
Total profit
$64,920
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
45.8%
Equity multiple
10.89×
Total profit
$165,866
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12827

Home prices YoY
14.7%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $551
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $541 -5% $524 +0% $507 +5% $490 +10% $473
Rent -10% $412 -5% $460 +0% $507 +5% $554 +10% $601
Rate -1.0pp $537 -0.5pp $522 base $507 +0.5pp $491 +1.0pp $475

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-07
    listed $59,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,151 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,151 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,303
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,151
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,144
− Management
−$1,144
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,466
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,312
After-tax cash flow
$4,767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Ann Central School District
NCES district ID
3611280
Math proficiency
61% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$57,169
Composite
55.34/100
National rank
#2716
State rank
#231 of 755 in NY

Livability — Fort Ann

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#12084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,935

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,576 people
By 2030
57,618 · -3.3%
By 2040
52,751 · -11.5%
By 2050
47,514 · -20.2%
By 2075
35,690 · -40.1%
By 2100
24,807 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 43.92%
Current HPI
342.8332
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-67.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $59,900 FSBO.com
  • 2022-09-08 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2022-08-25 Listed $79,900 Global MLS
  • 2019-02-28 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2017-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2016-06-25 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2015-06-25 Listed $130,000 Global MLS
  • 2011-10-01 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2011-09-30 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2009-12-04 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
  • 2009-12-04 Listed $169,900 Global MLS
  • 2009-06-24 Listed $185,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,151 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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