90 Club Cir · Stockbridge, GA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.
Key facts
- Private lot
- Solid brick ranch
- Side-entry garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community features: other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: 110V and 220V; Cable available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-level home (one story); Resale property
- Construction: Brick, stone, and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Foundation details: see remarks; Other on-site structures
- Exterior features: Deck; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Stained cabinets; Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary suite on the main level
- Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Primary bathroom with tub/shower combination
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One fireplace with a stone surround; Great room; Crawl space foundation; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room; Other laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Stockbridge Elementary School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #981 of 1,228 statewide, top 80%, 543 students, 78% FRL); Stockbridge Middle School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 611 students, 70% FRL); Stockbridge High School (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #284 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,543 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 43% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Henry County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 611 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $210k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.44%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $314,352
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Club Cir | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,124 (0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $94 | 94 |
| 123 Creek Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-6%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $118 | 71 |
| 129 Creek Cir | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,037 (-4%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $123 | 68 |
| 104 Stockview Ter | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (-6%) | 21mo | $275,000 | $138 | 62 |
| 139 Club Cir | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,980 (-7%) | 16mo | $313,000 | $158 | 59 |
| 668 Sprayberry Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,047 (-4%) | 14mo | $340,000 | $166 | 46 |
| 140 Tye St | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,306 (+9%) | 13mo | $341,400 | $148 | 36 |
| 301 Escalade Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,831 (-14%) | 21mo | $325,950 | $178 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-31,986
- Equity at exit
- $31,237
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-37,231
- Equity at exit
- $18,114
Cash invested: $58,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30281
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 611
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,227 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,099
- Tax from tax record
- −$405 /mo · $4,860/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $220 | -5% $161 | +0% $102 | +5% $42 | +10% $-17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-74 | -5% $14 | +0% $102 | +5% $190 | +10% $278 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $207 | -0.5pp $155 | base $102 | +0.5pp $47 | +1.0pp $-8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,375
- Closing costs
- $6,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Turning Pt Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1454 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 609 Seaboard Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,130 | $1.24 | 7d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 553 Sprayberry Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1905 | $2,500 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 600 Sprayberry Dr Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2052 | $2,485 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 19 Sentry Oak Ct Unit B Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 60 Sentry Oak Ct Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2225 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4059 Angels Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,879 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 164 Addy Ln Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $2,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 184 Addy Ln Stockbridge, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $2,570 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 200 Misty Ridge Trl Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,776 | $1.06 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 604 Armitage Way Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2280 | $2,320 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 808 Winsap Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $2,145 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 226 Due West Dr Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1862 | $2,220 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2530 Walter Way Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2213 | $2,180 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 604 Mohawk Cir Stockbridge, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2877 | $2,760 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 125 Bay Court Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 125 Bay Court Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 125 Bay Court Dr Stockbridge, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 312 Eagle Way Stockbridge, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2054 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 254 Hillandale Dr Stockbridge, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2243 | $2,695 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-07$209,500 Active
-
2014-07-08price $70,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.
-
2014-07-02soldstatus $74,100
-
2014-06-20soldstatus $70,000 Sold 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.
-
2014-06-06status Under Contract 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.
-
2014-06-06price $79,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.
-
2014-05-29$79,000 New 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.
-
2011-02-26price $55,000 Reduced
-
2011-01-26price $69,900 Reduced
-
2010-12-24price $84,900 Reduced
-
2007-11-05soldstatus $98,100
-
2002-04-10soldstatus $135,000
-
1997-04-10soldstatus $119,900
-
1997-03-28soldstatus $119,900
-
1993-11-09soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,860 · $405/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,860 · $405/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,735
- − Property taxes
- −$4,860
- − Insurance
- −$1,845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,138
- − Management
- −$2,138
- − Depreciation
- −$6,095
- Taxable loss
- −$2,091
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Stockbridge
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #19479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stockbridge, GA
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 71,603
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,603
- Household income
- $71,213
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2464.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.76%
- Current HPI
- 207.2332
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.87%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+120.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $209,500 FMLS
- 2014-07-08 Price Changed $70,000 GAMLS
- 2014-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $74,100 Public Records
- 2014-06-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GAMLS
- 2014-06-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2014-06-06 Price Changed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2014-05-29 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2011-02-26 Price Changed $55,000 GAMLS
- 2011-01-26 Price Changed $69,900 GAMLS
- 2010-12-24 Price Changed $84,900 GAMLS
- 2007-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $98,100 Public Records
- 2002-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 1997-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 1993-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,860 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…