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90 Club Cir
C- Composite 54.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,500

90 Club Cir · Stockbridge, GA 30281
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,124 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1975 0.47 ac lot Est $314k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • Solid brick ranch
  • Side-entry garage

Tags

SOLID BRICK RANCHROCKING CHAIR FRONT PORCHSIDE-ENTRY GARAGEPRIVATE LOTESTABLISHED COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community features: other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: 110V and 220V; Cable available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-level home (one story); Resale property
  • Construction: Brick, stone, and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Foundation details: see remarks; Other on-site structures
  • Exterior features: Deck; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stained cabinets; Other kitchen features
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary suite on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Primary bathroom with tub/shower combination
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One fireplace with a stone surround; Great room; Crawl space foundation; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room; Other laundry features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Stockbridge Elementary School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #981 of 1,228 statewide, top 80%, 543 students, 78% FRL); Stockbridge Middle School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 611 students, 70% FRL); Stockbridge High School (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #284 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,543 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 43% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 28% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Henry County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 611 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $74k; list at $210k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$314,352
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
90 Club Cir 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,124 (0%) 1mo $200,000 $94 94
123 Creek Cir 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-6%) 2mo $235,000 $118 71
129 Creek Cir 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,037 (-4%) 8mo $250,000 $123 68
104 Stockview Ter 0.23mi 4/2.0 2,000 (-6%) 21mo $275,000 $138 62
139 Club Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,980 (-7%) 16mo $313,000 $158 59
668 Sprayberry Dr 0.74mi 4/2.5 2,047 (-4%) 14mo $340,000 $166 46
140 Tye St 0.74mi 4/3.0 2,306 (+9%) 13mo $341,400 $148 36
301 Escalade Dr 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,831 (-14%) 21mo $325,950 $178 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-31,986
Equity at exit
$31,237
10-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-37,231
Equity at exit
$18,114

Cash invested: $58,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30281

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
611
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,227 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,099
Tax from tax record
$405 /mo · $4,860/yr
Insurance
$87
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,098
Max offer price $209,500
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $220 -5% $161 +0% $102 +5% $42 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-74 -5% $14 +0% $102 +5% $190 +10% $278
Rate -1.0pp $207 -0.5pp $155 base $102 +0.5pp $47 +1.0pp $-8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,375
Closing costs
$6,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
131 Turning Pt Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.5 1454 $2,100 $1.44 45d 1 0.17mi
609 Seaboard Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1720 $2,130 $1.24 7d 1 0.69mi
553 Sprayberry Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.5 1905 $2,500 $1.31 0d 1 0.77mi
600 Sprayberry Dr Stockbridge, GA 4.0 2.5 2052 $2,485 $1.21 18d 1 0.82mi
19 Sentry Oak Ct Unit B Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1816 $1,600 $0.88 45d 1 0.85mi
60 Sentry Oak Ct Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 2225 $2,300 $1.03 0d 1 1.04mi
4059 Angels Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,879 $1.31 45d 1 1.04mi
164 Addy Ln Stockbridge, GA 4.0 2.5 2400 $2,400 $1.00 45d 1 1.12mi
184 Addy Ln Stockbridge, GA 5.0 3.0 2400 $2,570 $1.07 45d 1 1.13mi
200 Misty Ridge Trl Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1683 $1,776 $1.06 26d 1 1.16mi
604 Armitage Way Stockbridge, GA 4.0 3.0 2280 $2,320 $1.02 22d 1 1.17mi
808 Winsap Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 2066 $2,145 $1.04 45d 1 1.27mi
226 Due West Dr Stockbridge, GA 4.0 2.5 1862 $2,220 $1.19 45d 1 1.34mi
2530 Walter Way Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.5 2213 $2,180 $0.99 7d 1 1.35mi
604 Mohawk Cir Stockbridge, GA 5.0 3.0 2877 $2,760 $0.96 1d 1 1.38mi
125 Bay Court Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.5 1620 $1,700 $1.05 45d 1 1.39mi
125 Bay Court Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.5 1620 $1,700 $1.05 7d 1 1.39mi
125 Bay Court Dr Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.5 1620 $1,700 $1.05 26d 1 1.39mi
312 Eagle Way Stockbridge, GA 4.0 2.5 2054 $2,200 $1.07 26d 1 1.46mi
254 Hillandale Dr Stockbridge, GA 5.0 2.5 2243 $2,695 $1.20 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $209,500 Active
  3. 2014-07-08
    price $70,000 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.

  4. 2014-07-02
    soldstatus $74,100
  5. 2014-06-20
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.

  6. 2014-06-06
    status Under Contract 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.

  7. 2014-06-06
    price $79,000 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.

  8. 2014-05-29
    listed $79,000 New 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    Handyman special. Solid brick house in established community. Huge wooded lot. Side entry garage. Rocking chair front porch.

  9. 2011-02-26
    price $55,000 Reduced
  10. 2011-01-26
    price $69,900 Reduced
  11. 2010-12-24
    price $84,900 Reduced
  12. 2007-11-05
    soldstatus $98,100
  13. 2002-04-10
    soldstatus $135,000
  14. 1997-04-10
    soldstatus $119,900
  15. 1997-03-28
    soldstatus $119,900
  16. 1993-11-09
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,860 · $405/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,860 · $405/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,719
− Mortgage interest
−$11,735
− Property taxes
−$4,860
− Insurance
−$1,845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,138
− Management
−$2,138
− Depreciation
−$6,095
Taxable loss
−$2,091
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$502
After-tax cash flow
$1,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Stockbridge

Score
60/100
State rank
#389
US rank
#19479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stockbridge, GA
County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
71,603
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
71,603
Household income
$71,213
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
2464.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.76%
Current HPI
207.2332
Rent YoY
▲ 0.87%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending FMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $209,500 FMLS
  • 2014-07-08 Price Changed $70,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $74,100 Public Records
  • 2014-06-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-06-06 Pending GAMLS
  • 2014-06-06 Price Changed $79,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-05-29 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
  • 2011-02-26 Price Changed $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2011-01-26 Price Changed $69,900 GAMLS
  • 2010-12-24 Price Changed $84,900 GAMLS
  • 2007-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $98,100 Public Records
  • 2002-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 1997-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 1997-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 1993-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,860 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…