14996 Pleasant Valley Rd #66 · Chillicothe, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Chillicothe, Ohio offers 1,140 square feet of comfortable living space within the Kenowa Estates community. Built by Clayton and featuring the Cornerstone model, this home provides a functional layout ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious interior includes a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample storage, and generously sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom includes a private bathroom, creating a convenient and comfortable retreat. Located in Kenowa Estates, this manufactured home offers a great opportunity for homeownership in a peaceful Chillicothe, OH setting while remaining close to local amenities, shopping, and dining.
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 71 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $83k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 4.2% in Chillicothe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#909 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Union-Scioto Local (town): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #331 of 656 in OH (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Ross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ross County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.83%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $33,696
- List price
- $82,900
- Delta
- 146.03%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $19,648
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $59,764
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45601
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $519
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $82,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $82,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$82,900 Active 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Chillicothe, Ohio offers 1,140 square feet of comfortable living space within the Kenowa Estates community. Built by Clayton and featuring the Cornerstone model, this home provides a functional layout ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious interior includes a welcoming living area, a practical kitchen with ample storage, and generously sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom includes a private bathroom, creating a convenient and comfortable retreat. Located in Kenowa Estates, this manufactured home offers a great opportunity for homeownership in a peaceful Chillicothe, OH setting while remaining close to local amenities, shopping, and dining.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$1,244
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $5,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,253
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home in Chillicothe, Ohio is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It offers a functional layout and is located in a peaceful community. Fresh paint and landscaping can further enhance its appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Scioto Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904953
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,050
- Composite
- 48.98/100
- National rank
- #2072
- State rank
- #331 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chillicothe
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #909
- US rank
- #17195
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ross · 75,517 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,453
- Household income
- $57,430
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.6
Population outlook (Ross County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,482 people
- By 2030
- 74,035 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 70,702 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 66,706 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 55,398 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 42,197 · -44.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ross
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+2.4 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.40%
- Current HPI
- 205.7051
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $82,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…