24222 54th Ave W #17 · Mountlake Terrace, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked within a quiet and well-maintained 55+ community in Mountlake Terrace, this updated double-wide offers comfortable living with thoughtful improvements throughout. Spanning 1,120 sq ft, the home features 3 bedrooms, including a private primary retreat with a jetted soaking tub. The kitchen is both functional and inviting, outfitted with stainless steel appliances and generous workspace. Recent updates include refreshed siding and skirting, energy-efficient double-pane windows, a new heat pump with air conditioning (2023), and a newly updated shower in the second bathroom (2023). Skylights bring in abundant natural light, enhancing the home’s bright and airy feel. Outdoor spaces
Key facts
- Jetted soaking tub
- New heat pump
- Updated double-wide
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Calculated living area 1120; Green feature: double pane windows
- Financial info: Land lease: $698; Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: Located in Youngs Mobile Home Park (approximately 71 homes); Park approved for sale; Pets allowed: cats and dogs; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (paid to park); Sewer paid to park; Power provided by Snohomish PUD
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Fleetwood make, model 40/28; One story; Brick skirting; Mobile home remains; Good condition
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation with tie downs; Manufactured after 06/15/1976
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Wood products; Patio/porch/deck; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (2 bathtubs, 2 showers)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Bath off primary; Patio/porch/deck
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater located in bedroom closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $856 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.1% in Mountlake Terrace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#28 in WA, #500 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Edmonds School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #53 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $125k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.46%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,708
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -14.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24222 54th Ave W #55 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+7%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $187 | 77 |
| 24222 54th Ave W #26 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 956 (-12%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $78 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $23,623
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $65,289
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98043
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $719/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $856
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5407 244th St SW Unit C Mountlake Terrace, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $2,200 | $2.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5407 244th St SW Apt B Mountlake Terrace, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,880 | $2.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1795 NE 205th St Shoreline, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 654 | $1,724 | $2.63 | 5d | 3 | 0.19mi |
| 23809 55th Ave W Mountlake Terrace, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $2,650 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 19924 19th Ave NE Shoreline, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $2,375 | $1.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 19837 25th Ave NE Unit B Shoreline, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1614 NE 199th Ct Unit 1614 Shoreline, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,964 | $2.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 20057 Ballinger Way NE Shoreline, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,963 | $2.07 | 3d | 10 | 0.39mi |
| 24000 Van Ry Blvd Mountlake Terrace, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,947 | $2.91 | 2d | 32 | 0.49mi |
| 23905 Van Ry Blvd Mountlake Terrace, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $2,895 | $3.49 | 2d | 24 | 0.50mi |
| 23005 60th Ave W Mountlake Terrace, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,750 | $3.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4208 236th St SW Mountlake Terrace, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $2,338 | $2.52 | 2d | 26 | 0.90mi |
| 23335 Cedar Way Unit B-102 Mountlake Terrace, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $2,200 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18623 Perkins Pl NE Shoreline, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,750 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 23111 44th Ave W Mountlake Terrace, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,945 | $2.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18553 8th Ave NE Shoreline, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $3,096 | $3.46 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 407 NE 189th Ct Shoreline, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $700 | $0.58 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2405 N 202nd Pl Shoreline, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,270 | $2.42 | 5d | 17 | 1.23mi |
| 22817 Lakeview Dr Mountlake Terrace, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $2,135 | $2.41 | 2d | 8 | 1.31mi |
| 5607 222nd Pl SW Mountlake Terrace, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,795 | $2.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 22715 Lakeview Dr Unit J2 Mountlake Terrace, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,595 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17712 15th Ave NE Shoreline, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 789 | $3,583 | $4.54 | 2d | 108 | 1.41mi |
| 17567 15th Ave NE Shoreline, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 669 | $2,064 | $3.08 | 2d | 7 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 20 events
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-04-30$160,000 Active
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2021-03-24soldstatus $124,950 Sold
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2021-03-23status Pending
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2021-02-04status Pending - Backup Offer Requested
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2021-01-11price $124,950
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2020-11-02$134,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $719 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,470 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$751/yr (+$63/mo · 104.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$719
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,145
- − Management
- −$2,145
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $8,286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,989
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edmonds School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,451
- Composite
- 53.94/100
- National rank
- #3026
- State rank
- #53 of 291 in WA
Livability — Mountlake Terrace
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mountlake Terrace, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 23,101
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,101
- Household income
- $107,687
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 724.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 10% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -907.23%
- Current HPI
- 347.9259
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.47%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+11.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $160,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-24 Sold (MLS) $124,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-23 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-11 Price Changed $124,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-02 Listed $134,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2026): $719 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…