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207 E 120th St Unit 3R
D Composite 42.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$395,000

207 E 120th St Unit 3R · New York, NY 10035
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 494 sqft · Condo public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1924 $322/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Private Balcony Condo Ownership Low Monthly Costs Pet Friendly! Rare opportunity to own a move-in ready one-bedroom condo with exceptional outdoor space in the heart of East Harlem. - Private balcony perfect for outdoor dining, entertaining, gardening, or relaxing - Spacious queen-sized bedroom with excellent closet space and natural light - Open-concept living and dining area - Pullman kitchen with stainless appliances - Dedicated dining nook or home office space - Full-sized in-unit washer and dryer - Oversized bathroom with generous storage - Additional private storage rights included - Access to a furnished common rooftop terrace with city views - Pet-friendly condominium - Butterfl

Key facts

  • Private balcony
  • Dining nook
  • Pet friendly

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYDINING NOOKFULL SIZED WASHER DRYERPRIVATE ROOFTOP SPACEPET FRIENDLY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building contains 11 total units; Pets allowed with board approval
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $322

Exterior

  • Home design: 6-story building; Entry level is 3rd floor; Zoning: R7A
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Basement: Other; Building has bike storage; Has a view
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Washer and dryer allowed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $395k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (20.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $331k (16.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $312k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,310/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 3992% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $320k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $312,327 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.08%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.23% appreciation · 5.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$31,857
Equity at exit
$182,778
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$164,337
Equity at exit
$285,769

Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10035

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,071
Tax from tax record
$525 /mo · $6,302/yr
Insurance
$165
HOA
$322
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$695
Net cashflow
$-468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,903
Max offer price $312,327
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-244 -5% $-356 +0% $-468 +5% $-580 +10% $-692
Rent -10% $-730 -5% $-599 +0% $-468 +5% $-337 +10% $-206
Rate -1.0pp $-269 -0.5pp $-368 base $-468 +0.5pp $-570 +1.0pp $-674

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,750
Closing costs
$11,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$322 · $3,864/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $395,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $395,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $395,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $395,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,302 · $525/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,489 · $541/mo
Expected delta
+$187/yr (+$16/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,724
− Mortgage interest
−$22,126
− Property taxes
−$6,302
− Insurance
−$1,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,178
− Management
−$3,178
− HOA
−$3,864
− Depreciation
−$11,491
Taxable loss
−$12,390
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,974
After-tax cash flow
$-2,642/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
New York County · 1,599,927 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
38,862
Household income
$45,121
Rent vs Own
89.0% rent · 11.0% own
Severe rent burden
3992.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,825,725 people
By 2030
1,904,611 · +4.3%
By 2040
2,052,719 · +12.4%
By 2050
2,206,601 · +20.9%
By 2075
2,509,427 · +37.4%
By 2100
2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 42% Black 35% White 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.23%
Current HPI
317.1637
Rent YoY
▲ 5.62%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $395,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2017-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 2012-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $223,125 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,302 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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