207 E 120th St Unit 3R · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$395,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Private Balcony Condo Ownership Low Monthly Costs Pet Friendly! Rare opportunity to own a move-in ready one-bedroom condo with exceptional outdoor space in the heart of East Harlem. - Private balcony perfect for outdoor dining, entertaining, gardening, or relaxing - Spacious queen-sized bedroom with excellent closet space and natural light - Open-concept living and dining area - Pullman kitchen with stainless appliances - Dedicated dining nook or home office space - Full-sized in-unit washer and dryer - Oversized bathroom with generous storage - Additional private storage rights included - Access to a furnished common rooftop terrace with city views - Pet-friendly condominium - Butterfl
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Dining nook
- Pet friendly
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building contains 11 total units; Pets allowed with board approval
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $322
Exterior
- Home design: 6-story building; Entry level is 3rd floor; Zoning: R7A
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Basement: Other; Building has bike storage; Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Washer and dryer allowed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (20.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $331k (16.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $312k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,310/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 3992% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $320k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.08%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.23% appreciation · 5.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $31,857
- Equity at exit
- $182,778
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $164,337
- Equity at exit
- $285,769
Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10035
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,310 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax from tax record
- −$525 /mo · $6,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$322
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$695
- Net cashflow
- $-468
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-244 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-468 | +5% $-580 | +10% $-692 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-730 | -5% $-599 | +0% $-468 | +5% $-337 | +10% $-206 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-269 | -0.5pp $-368 | base $-468 | +0.5pp $-570 | +1.0pp $-674 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,750
- Closing costs
- $11,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $322 · $3,864/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $395,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $395,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $395,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$395,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,302 · $525/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,489 · $541/mo
- Expected delta
- +$187/yr (+$16/mo · 3.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,126
- − Property taxes
- −$6,302
- − Insurance
- −$1,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,178
- − Management
- −$3,178
- − HOA
- −$3,864
- − Depreciation
- −$11,491
- Taxable loss
- −$12,390
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,974
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,642/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,862
- Household income
- $45,121
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3992.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% Black 35% White 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Current HPI
- 317.1637
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.62%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+77.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $395,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2017-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $223,125 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,302 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…