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1845 83rd St W
B Composite 71.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

1845 83rd St W · Inver Grove Heights, MN 55077
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 2008 ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured/mobile home nestled in the sought-after Emerald Hills Village community in Inver Grove Heights. Residents enjoy access to a community pool, park, and tornado shelter, all in a peaceful, well-kept neighborhood conveniently located near great shopping, dining, and the Eagan YMCA. Step inside to a bright, open-concept living space anchored by a spacious living room with a gas fireplace and large windows that flood the home with natural light. The kitchen is a real standout, offering stainless steel appliances, generous oak cabinetry, plenty of counter space, and a breakfast bar — great for entertaining or everyday living.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Community park
  • Gas fireplace

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLCOMMUNITY PARKOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACEGAS FIREPLACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE OAK CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association amenities listed as 'Other'
  • HOA & community: Part of Emerald Hills Village; Monthly association fee of $855; Association provides professional management and other included services

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One story; No stairs internally (accessible); Association-maintained paved streets
  • Construction: Foundation described as 'Other'; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,300
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Vinyl exterior; Storage shed; Light tree coverage; Shared pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms — all on the main level; Primary bedroom is a main-floor primary suite
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One three-quarter (3/4) primary bathroom (private)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living/dining room combo; Breakfast bar and breakfast area; Kitchen window; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Main-floor primary bedroom; All living facilities on one level; No internal stairs; Gas fireplace in the living room (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Gas water heater; Owned water softener

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.2% in Inver Grove Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#146 in MN, #3,277 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in MN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
14.73%
Cash-on-cash
30.13%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$30,655
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$84,515
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55077

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$882

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,264
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $975 -5% $928 +0% $882 +5% $835 +10% $789
Rent -10% $694 -5% $788 +0% $882 +5% $976 +10% $1,070
Rate -1.0pp $950 -0.5pp $916 base $882 +0.5pp $847 +1.0pp $811

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3288 Dodd Ln Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,000 $1.63 22d 1 1.23mi
1462 80th St E Inver Grove Heights, MN 2.0 1.0–2.5 1084 $2,749 $2.53 0d 13 1.40mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $134,900 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-03-23
    price $134,900
  7. 2026-02-25
    price $142,000
  8. 2026-02-02
    listed $152,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,565
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,285
− Management
−$2,285
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$9,018
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,164
After-tax cash flow
$8,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan
NCES district ID
2732390
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$85,559
Composite
49.48/100
National rank
#2000
State rank
#58 of 301 in MN

Livability — Inver Grove Heights

Score
76/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#3277

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Inver Grove Heights, MN
County
Dakota County · 417,704 people
City population
14,503
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
14,503
Household income
$111,967
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
464.0

Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
450,671 people
By 2030
465,068 · +3.2%
By 2040
486,770 · +8.0%
By 2050
498,743 · +10.7%
By 2075
533,865 · +18.5%
By 2100
550,133 · +22.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Italian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dakota

2024 margin
D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.88%
Current HPI
210.7031
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $142,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $152,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…