1845 83rd St W · Inver Grove Heights, MN
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured/mobile home nestled in the sought-after Emerald Hills Village community in Inver Grove Heights. Residents enjoy access to a community pool, park, and tornado shelter, all in a peaceful, well-kept neighborhood conveniently located near great shopping, dining, and the Eagan YMCA. Step inside to a bright, open-concept living space anchored by a spacious living room with a gas fireplace and large windows that flood the home with natural light. The kitchen is a real standout, offering stainless steel appliances, generous oak cabinetry, plenty of counter space, and a breakfast bar — great for entertaining or everyday living.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Community park
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association amenities listed as 'Other'
- HOA & community: Part of Emerald Hills Village; Monthly association fee of $855; Association provides professional management and other included services
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One story; No stairs internally (accessible); Association-maintained paved streets
- Construction: Foundation described as 'Other'; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,300
- Exterior features: Front porch; Vinyl exterior; Storage shed; Light tree coverage; Shared pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms — all on the main level; Primary bedroom is a main-floor primary suite
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One three-quarter (3/4) primary bathroom (private)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living/dining room combo; Breakfast bar and breakfast area; Kitchen window; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Main-floor primary bedroom; All living facilities on one level; No internal stairs; Gas fireplace in the living room (1)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Gas water heater; Owned water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.2% in Inver Grove Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#146 in MN, #3,277 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in MN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.13%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $30,655
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $84,515
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55077
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,380 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $882
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $975 | -5% $928 | +0% $882 | +5% $835 | +10% $789 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $694 | -5% $788 | +0% $882 | +5% $976 | +10% $1,070 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $950 | -0.5pp $916 | base $882 | +0.5pp $847 | +1.0pp $811 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3288 Dodd Ln Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1462 80th St E Inver Grove Heights, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1084 | $2,749 | $2.53 | 0d | 13 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $134,900
-
2026-02-25price $142,000
-
2026-02-02$152,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,565
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,024
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,285
- − Management
- −$2,285
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $9,018
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,164
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan
- NCES district ID
- 2732390
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,559
- Composite
- 49.48/100
- National rank
- #2000
- State rank
- #58 of 301 in MN
Livability — Inver Grove Heights
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #3277
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inver Grove Heights, MN
- County
- Dakota County · 417,704 people
- City population
- 14,503
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,503
- Household income
- $111,967
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 450,671 people
- By 2030
- 465,068 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 486,770 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 498,743 · +10.7%
- By 2075
- 533,865 · +18.5%
- By 2100
- 550,133 · +22.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Italian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dakota
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.88%
- Current HPI
- 210.7031
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $142,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Listed $152,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…