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4712 Princeton Dr
C- Composite 50.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

4712 Princeton Dr · Mobile, AL 36618
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,831 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1985 0.30 ac lot Est $211k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Interior photos coming 6/20. There’s an easy rhythm to this home - one that feels cared for, comfortable, and ready to begin a new chapter. Set in a well-loved pocket of Mobile, its location places you just minutes from the University of South Alabama campus, the Mobile Museum of Art, and the newly created Japanese Garden park. You will appreciate the front approach with natural charm that quietly draws you in, but it’s the backyard that truly changes the pace. Thoughtfully arranged with a patio and fire pit, it invites long evenings, casual gatherings, and a bit of breathing room thanks to its sense of privacy. Inside, the main living space flows directly into a dedicated dining room, creating a layout that feels both connected and defined. The kitchen offers generous room to gather, with space for a table beside the front windows where morning light can ease into the day. A large laundry room doubles easily as a utility or drop zone, adding flexibility to daily routines. The attached garage extends deeper than expected, offering valuable extra space for storage beyond just parking. The primary suite is set apart for a bit of separation, complete with two closets and a private bath. Two additional bedrooms and full bathroom are nearby. With shopping and dining just moments away, this home brings together comfort, function, and a location that keeps everything within easy reach - simply waiting for you to move in. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Tags

KITCHEN WITH SPACE FOR TABLESHOPPING AND DINING NEARBY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No transfer fees; No community amenities listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached single-car garage; Total 2 parking spaces (1 covered)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Alabama Power; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level (single-story); Resale condition
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area reported by seller (2035 square feet)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Rear porch; Few trees; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with attached bath; 1st-floor primary with walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Ceiling fan(s); En-suite bathroom; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (13.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Hill Elementary School (math 4% / reading 23%, grade F, #531 of 627 statewide, top 85%, 549 students, 93% FRL); Cl Scarborough Model Middle School (math 4% / reading 21%, grade F, #216 of 257 statewide, top 86%, 651 students, 94% FRL); Mattie T Blount High School (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,176 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 67% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,814 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.54%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,565
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4724 Tulane Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,870 (+2%) 2mo $256,000 $137 84
4717 Bellewood Dr S 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,875 (+2%) 10mo $190,000 $101 82
1166 Harvard Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 2,037 (+11%) 1mo $139,505 $68 76
1312 Forest Cove Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,602 (-12%) 4mo $237,000 $148 63
5055 Druid Dr S 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,858 (+2%) 8mo $201,400 $108 61
4305 Moffett Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,692 (-8%) 1mo $80,000 $47 54
4929 Janice Dr 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,007 (+10%) 12mo $230,000 $115 50
4558 Brookmoor Dr 0.24mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,560 (-15%) 10mo $220,000 $141 47
1400 Forest Cove Dr 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,577 (-14%) 15mo $205,000 $130 41
861 Knowles Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,615 (-12%) 12mo $130,000 $80 41
1112 Druid Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,606 (-12%) 12mo $216,000 $134 36
1259 Forest Dale Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (-10%) 14mo $176,500 $107 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-20,768
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-5,622
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36618

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,628 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $723/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $263 -5% $210 +0% $156 +5% $103 +10% $49
Rent -10% $27 -5% $92 +0% $156 +5% $220 +10% $285
Rate -1.0pp $251 -0.5pp $204 base $156 +0.5pp $107 +1.0pp $57

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1063 Midmoor Dr Mobile, AL 2.0 2.0 1695 $1,450 $0.86 45d 1 0.18mi
1104 Garland St Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1377 $1,450 $1.05 23d 1 0.58mi
4174 Benson Dr Mobile, AL 4.0 2.0 1288 $1,400 $1.09 45d 1 0.77mi
4410 The Cedars Ave Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 15d 1 0.89mi
4410 The Cedars Ave Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 45d 1 0.89mi
324 Dalewood Dr Mobile, AL 4.0 3.0 2398 $2,750 $1.15 45d 1 0.92mi
5477 Ardell Dr Unit 1043691P Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1496 $2,680 $1.79 15d 1 1.23mi
5508 Overlook Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,400 $1.11 15d 1 1.29mi
3521 Stillwood Ln W Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 2126 $2,900 $1.36 45d 1 1.29mi
5520 Vienna Ave Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1745 $1,395 $0.80 45d 1 1.38mi
5613 Overlook Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1520 $1,450 $0.95 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 687-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $189,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$723 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$775 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$52/yr (+$4/mo · 7.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,538
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$723
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,563
− Management
−$1,563
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$1,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$322
After-tax cash flow
$2,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mobile, AL
County
Mobile County · 246,577 people
City population
205,729
Metro
Mobile, AL
Population (ZIP)
17,892
Household income
$61,550
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
542.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 27% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.54%
Current HPI
218.7133
Rent YoY
Metro
Mobile, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $189,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $189,000 BCAR

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $723 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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