1673 Poplar Ridge Dr · Auburn, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$304,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom, 1587 square feet home in Camden Ridge Subdivision. This home is ready for you to add your own personal touch! It is priced to sell and won& apos; t last long. Contact Liberty @ 334-524-4066 to see the home.
Key facts
- Built 2000
- Listed 36 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($225/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (23.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#6 in AL, #1,842 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Auburn City (urban): math 51% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #7 of 129 in AL (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 899 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.26%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $361,836
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1694 Poplar Ridge Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,624 (+2%) | 6mo | $302,000 | $186 | 82 |
| 2019 Highridge Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+5%) | 4mo | $332,900 | $199 | 77 |
| 1531 Fallen Oaks Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,701 (+7%) | 6mo | $369,900 | $217 | 74 |
| 1710 Woodsome Cir | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,709 (+8%) | 4mo | $425,000 | $249 | 66 |
| 1872 Shadow Bend Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (-5%) | 1mo | $398,719 | $264 | 62 |
| 1831 Shadow Bend Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (-4%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $214 | 61 |
| 1603 Whiskey Run Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,678 (+6%) | 8mo | $414,500 | $247 | 53 |
| 1945 Armistead Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (+4%) | 10mo | $328,000 | $199 | 52 |
| 2008 Burt's Gap Loop | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+1%) | 11mo | $364,561 | $228 | 52 |
| 2012 Burt's Gap Loop | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,649 (+4%) | 8mo | $406,353 | $246 | 50 |
| 1538 Dartmouth Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,706 (+8%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $240 | 47 |
| 2033 Armistead Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,804 (+14%) | 5mo | $345,000 | $191 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-42,675
- Equity at exit
- $45,462
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-11,736
- Equity at exit
- $26,362
Cash invested: $85,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36830
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 899
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,335 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,225
- Closing costs
- $9,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1711 Piedmont Dr Auburn, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1960 Armistead Ln Auburn, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1923 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1742 Woodland Pines Ln Auburn, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1415 Sarah Ln Unit 403 Auburn, AL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1715 | $2,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $304,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $304,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $304,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $319,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $319,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $319,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $319,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $319,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$319,999 Active 236-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,203 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,079
- − Property taxes
- −$1,203
- − Insurance
- −$1,524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,242
- − Management
- −$2,242
- − Depreciation
- −$8,870
- Taxable loss
- −$5,136
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,233
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City
- NCES district ID
- 0100210
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,126
- Composite
- 49.87/100
- National rank
- #1944
- State rank
- #7 of 129 in AL
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #1842
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, AL
- County
- Lee County · 144,175 people
- City population
- 80,251
- Metro
- Auburn-Opelika, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,292
- Household income
- $70,188
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2961.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,440 people
- By 2030
- 217,417 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 259,467 · +32.1%
- By 2050
- 301,557 · +53.5%
- By 2075
- 402,186 · +104.7%
- By 2100
- 474,503 · +141.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · South Korea, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Korean 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.53%
- Current HPI
- 270.6646
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.36%
- Metro
- Auburn-Opelika, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-4.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $304,900 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $319,999 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2022): $1,203 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…