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1673 Poplar Ridge Dr
C- Composite 50.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$304,900

1673 Poplar Ridge Dr · Auburn, AL 36830
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,587 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2000 Est $362k · 16% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom, 1587 square feet home in Camden Ridge Subdivision. This home is ready for you to add your own personal touch! It is priced to sell and won& apos; t last long. Contact Liberty @ 334-524-4066 to see the home.

Key facts

  • Built 2000
  • Listed 36 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($225/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (23.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#6 in AL, #1,842 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Auburn City (urban): math 51% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #7 of 129 in AL (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 899 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,540 (23.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.26%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$361,836
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1694 Poplar Ridge Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,624 (+2%) 6mo $302,000 $186 82
2019 Highridge Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,672 (+5%) 4mo $332,900 $199 77
1531 Fallen Oaks Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,701 (+7%) 6mo $369,900 $217 74
1710 Woodsome Cir 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,709 (+8%) 4mo $425,000 $249 66
1872 Shadow Bend Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,509 (-5%) 1mo $398,719 $264 62
1831 Shadow Bend Ln 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,517 (-4%) 9mo $325,000 $214 61
1603 Whiskey Run Ln 0.52mi 3/2.5 1,678 (+6%) 8mo $414,500 $247 53
1945 Armistead Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,652 (+4%) 10mo $328,000 $199 52
2008 Burt's Gap Loop 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,596 (+1%) 11mo $364,561 $228 52
2012 Burt's Gap Loop 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,649 (+4%) 8mo $406,353 $246 50
1538 Dartmouth Dr 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,706 (+8%) 11mo $410,000 $240 47
2033 Armistead Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,804 (+14%) 5mo $345,000 $191 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-42,675
Equity at exit
$45,462
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-11,736
Equity at exit
$26,362

Cash invested: $85,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36830

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
899
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,335 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,312
Max offer price $304,900
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,225
Closing costs
$9,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1711 Piedmont Dr Auburn, AL 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,300 $1.26 43d 1 0.15mi
1960 Armistead Ln Auburn, AL 3.0 2.5 1923 $2,400 $1.25 21d 1 0.57mi
1742 Woodland Pines Ln Auburn, AL 3.0 2.0 1380 $2,500 $1.81 13d 1 0.78mi
1415 Sarah Ln Unit 403 Auburn, AL 3.0 3.5 1715 $2,400 $1.40 21d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $304,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $304,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $304,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,999 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,999 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $319,999 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $319,999 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $319,999 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $319,999 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $319,999 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $319,999 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $319,999 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $319,999 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $319,999 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $319,999 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $319,999 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $319,999 Active 18 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    listed $319,999 Active 236-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$47/yr (+$4/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,025
− Mortgage interest
−$17,079
− Property taxes
−$1,203
− Insurance
−$1,524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,242
− Management
−$2,242
− Depreciation
−$8,870
Taxable loss
−$5,136
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,233
After-tax cash flow
$1,457/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City
NCES district ID
0100210
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$38,126
Composite
49.87/100
National rank
#1944
State rank
#7 of 129 in AL

Livability — Auburn

Score
80/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#1842

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, AL
County
Lee County · 144,175 people
City population
80,251
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
Population (ZIP)
49,292
Household income
$70,188
Rent vs Own
43.6% rent · 56.4% own
Severe rent burden
2961.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,440 people
By 2030
217,417 · +10.7%
By 2040
259,467 · +32.1%
By 2050
301,557 · +53.5%
By 2075
402,186 · +104.7%
By 2100
474,503 · +141.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 14% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · South Korea, Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Korean 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.53%
Current HPI
270.6646
Rent YoY
▲ 5.36%
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $304,900 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $319,999 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,203 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…