🌊 Lakefront
300 Bottlebrush Ct · Cocoa West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$173,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCED! DESIREABLE 55 and OVER GATED COMMUNITY! Home Overlooks BORROW LAKE with a 312 Sq ft Wood Deck! Home Features 638 Sq Ft 3 Car Garage with a Hobby Room, 510 Sq ft Enclosed Room with 51 feet of windows overlooking the lake. This large home has a 2 bedroom 2 bath with open floor plan with built in cabinets and shelves, large kitchen with a Island, TLC is needed and this would make a wonderful home for snowbirds or year round living. Community features clubhouse, shuffleboard, heated pool, social events. Great Location!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Wood deck
- Hobby room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property unfurnished; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
- HOA & community: Has association (Forest Lakes); Monthly association fee of $115; Association fee covers grounds maintenance; Community clubhouse; Shuffleboard court; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 3-car garage
- Security: Gated community; Security gate
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water available and connected; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-family home; One level; Faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Glass-enclosed area; Rear porch; Pond on property; Cul-de-sac lot; Asphalt road frontage; Wood deck (listed as other room)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with tub and separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Security gate (exterior entry)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $173k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $173k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Saturn Elementary School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,015 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 643 students, 81% FRL); Ronald Mcnair Magnet Middle School (math 58% / reading 50%, grade B-, #196 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 364 students, 58% FRL); Rockledge Senior High School (math 27% / reading 49%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 1,558 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 43% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $173k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.12%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-12,232
- Equity at exit
- $25,795
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $25,482
- Equity at exit
- $14,958
Cash invested: $48,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32926
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$907
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,847/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$115
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $264 | -5% $215 | +0% $166 | +5% $117 | +10% $69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $17 | -5% $92 | +0% $166 | +5% $241 | +10% $316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $254 | -0.5pp $210 | base $166 | +0.5pp $122 | +1.0pp $76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,250
- Closing costs
- $5,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 527 A Ln Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3782 Catalina Dr Cocoa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,075 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $115 · $1,380/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $173,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $173,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $173,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $173,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $173,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $173,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $173,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $173,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $173,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $173,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $173,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $173,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $173,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $173,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$180,000 Active
-
2000-12-18soldstatus $89,900
-
1999-06-03soldstatus $88,000
-
1991-12-01soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,847 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,847 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,754
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,691
- − Property taxes
- −$2,847
- − Insurance
- −$865
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,820
- − Management
- −$1,820
- − HOA
- −$1,380
- − Depreciation
- −$5,033
- Taxable loss
- −$702
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$168
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cocoa West
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #481
- US rank
- #8792
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,505
- Household income
- $70,735
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 782.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.32%
- Current HPI
- 335.1251
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $180,000 SCMLS
- 2000-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 1999-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 1991-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,847 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…