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708 Bowden Rd
C Composite 57.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.5/10.0

$185,000

708 Bowden Rd · Clewiston, FL 33440
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,412 sqft · Manufactured public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1984 6,534 sqft lot Est $174k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Galley kitchen
  • Shed stays

Tags

WALK IN CLOSETGALLEY KITCHENBUILT IN CABINETSSCREENED IN PORCHPAVED AREASHED STAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.0% in Clewiston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#436 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 404 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $185k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.55%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,676
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
708 Bowden Rd 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,412 (0%) 1mo $190,000 $135 94
611 Sabal Ave 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-5%) 8mo $165,000 $123 74
1183 Hookers Point Rd 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,428 (+1%) 5mo $62,000 $43 65
857 Redish Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+7%) 10mo $122,500 $81 46
870 Gratton Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+7%) 13mo $250,000 $165 44
832 Redish Cir 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+15%) 10mo $185,000 $114 36
506 Redish Cir 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (+11%) 20mo $208,000 $133 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,012
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$36,312
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33440

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
404
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,435/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    price $185,000
  3. 2026-03-25
    price $199,000
  4. 2026-01-23
    price $200,000
  5. 2025-11-20
    listed $230,000 Active
  6. 2014-06-17
    soldstatus $51,000
  7. 2014-06-13
    price $67,500 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.

  8. 2014-06-13
    soldstatus $51,000 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.

  9. 2014-01-27
    listed $51,000 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.

  10. 2013-09-17
    price $27,600 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    HUD PROPERTY SOLD AS IS FOR AVAILABILITY & BIDDING GO TO WEBSITE (WWW. NHMSI. COM). COMMISION UP TO 5% TO SHOW ON HUD MASTER KEY. INFO FROM SOURCES DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GAURENTEED. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFO. FOR BROKER ASSISTANCE CAll 866-382-4447. EVIDENCE OF MOLD, NO REMEDIATION DONE , MANUFACTURED HOME.

  11. 2006-07-12
    soldstatus $33,100 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    HUD PROPERTY SOLD AS IS FOR AVAILABILITY & BIDDING GO TO WEBSITE (WWW. NHMSI. COM). COMMISION UP TO 5% TO SHOW ON HUD MASTER KEY. INFO FROM SOURCES DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GAURENTEED. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFO. FOR BROKER ASSISTANCE CAll 866-382-4447. EVIDENCE OF MOLD, NO REMEDIATION DONE , MANUFACTURED HOME.

  12. 2003-04-08
    soldstatus $64,300
  13. 1989-01-01
    soldstatus $49,700
  14. 1983-08-01
    soldstatus $10,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,435 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,536 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$100/yr (+$8/mo · 7.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,641
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,435
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,971
− Management
−$1,971
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$2,594
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$623
After-tax cash flow
$4,842/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hendry
NCES district ID
1200780
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,043
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#6054
State rank
#65 of 73 in FL

Livability — Clewiston

Score
70/100
State rank
#436
US rank
#7801

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clewiston, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,119

Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,866 people
By 2030
38,558 · -0.8%
By 2040
37,743 · -2.9%
By 2050
36,117 · -7.1%
By 2075
30,070 · -22.6%
By 2100
21,966 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 26% White 23% Black 18% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 18%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 48% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendry

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.08%
Current HPI
414.9243
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1613.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $185,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $199,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $200,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $230,000 FORTMLS
  • 2014-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 2014-06-13 Sold (MLS) $51,000 FORTMLS
  • 2014-06-13 Price Changed $67,500 FORTMLS
  • 2014-01-27 Listed $51,000 FORTMLS
  • 2013-09-17 Price Changed $27,600 FORTMLS
  • 2006-07-12 Sold (MLS) $33,100 FORTMLS
  • 2003-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $64,300 Public Records
  • 1989-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,700 Public Records
  • 1983-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,435 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…