708 Bowden Rd · Clewiston, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Galley kitchen
- Shed stays
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.0% in Clewiston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#436 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 404 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $185k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.55%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,676
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 Bowden Rd | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,412 (0%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $135 | 94 |
| 611 Sabal Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-5%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $123 | 74 |
| 1183 Hookers Point Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+1%) | 5mo | $62,000 | $43 | 65 |
| 857 Redish Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+7%) | 10mo | $122,500 | $81 | 46 |
| 870 Gratton Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+7%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $165 | 44 |
| 832 Redish Cir | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+15%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $114 | 36 |
| 506 Redish Cir | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+11%) | 20mo | $208,000 | $133 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,012
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $36,312
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33440
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,053 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,435/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $455
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-06price $185,000
-
2026-03-25price $199,000
-
2026-01-23price $200,000
-
2025-11-20$230,000 Active
-
2014-06-17soldstatus $51,000
-
2014-06-13price $67,500 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.
-
2014-06-13soldstatus $51,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.
-
2014-01-27$51,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Beautiful home with electrical upgrades, Large porch with lani and big shed. Room for a boat with custom storage, perfect for winter residents and fishermen.
-
2013-09-17price $27,600 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
HUD PROPERTY SOLD AS IS FOR AVAILABILITY & BIDDING GO TO WEBSITE (WWW. NHMSI. COM). COMMISION UP TO 5% TO SHOW ON HUD MASTER KEY. INFO FROM SOURCES DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GAURENTEED. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFO. FOR BROKER ASSISTANCE CAll 866-382-4447. EVIDENCE OF MOLD, NO REMEDIATION DONE , MANUFACTURED HOME.
-
2006-07-12soldstatus $33,100 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
HUD PROPERTY SOLD AS IS FOR AVAILABILITY & BIDDING GO TO WEBSITE (WWW. NHMSI. COM). COMMISION UP TO 5% TO SHOW ON HUD MASTER KEY. INFO FROM SOURCES DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GAURENTEED. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFO. FOR BROKER ASSISTANCE CAll 866-382-4447. EVIDENCE OF MOLD, NO REMEDIATION DONE , MANUFACTURED HOME.
-
2003-04-08soldstatus $64,300
-
1989-01-01soldstatus $49,700
-
1983-08-01soldstatus $10,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,435 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,536 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$100/yr (+$8/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,641
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,435
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,971
- − Management
- −$1,971
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $2,594
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$623
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendry
- NCES district ID
- 1200780
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,043
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #6054
- State rank
- #65 of 73 in FL
Livability — Clewiston
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #436
- US rank
- #7801
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clewiston, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,119
Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,866 people
- By 2030
- 38,558 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 37,743 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 36,117 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 30,070 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 21,966 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 26% White 23% Black 18% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 18%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 48% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 414.9243
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1613.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $185,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $199,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $200,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $230,000 FORTMLS
- 2014-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-13 Sold (MLS) $51,000 FORTMLS
- 2014-06-13 Price Changed $67,500 FORTMLS
- 2014-01-27 Listed $51,000 FORTMLS
- 2013-09-17 Price Changed $27,600 FORTMLS
- 2006-07-12 Sold (MLS) $33,100 FORTMLS
- 2003-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $64,300 Public Records
- 1989-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,700 Public Records
- 1983-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,435 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…