31108 3rd Ave #222 · Black Diamond, WA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely remodeled in 2025, this charming home in Black Diamond's all-ages, pet-friendly community is move-in ready and loaded with updates! The open-concept kitchen and living area features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and fresh cabinetry. New laminate flooring flows throughout, giving the home a clean, modern feel. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard that’s perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing. Affordable living with all the modern touches; this is an opportunity you don't want to miss!
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Open-concept kitchen
- Modern touches
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Mobile home remains on site; Style code: Manuf-Double Wide
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Land lease: $1,200/month; Park approved for sale; Community name: Diamond Valley MH; 112 homes in the park
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open/uncovered parking spaces
- Utilities: Electric service; Community water; Community sewer; Electric water heater (located on bedroom wall); Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity; Power company: PSE
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Updated/remodeled; Faces west; Has a view; Manufactured after 6/15/1976
- Construction: Cement plank and wood construction; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation with tie downs; Make: BELMT, Model: 32/24
- Exterior features: Cement planked and wood exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bath (shower)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 2.2% in Black Diamond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#87 in WA, #1,663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
- Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Enumclaw Sr High School (1,339 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.21%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,569
- List price
- $124,950
- Delta
- -12.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31108 3rd Ave #330 | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-9%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $132 | 79 |
| 31108 3rd Ave #228 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+12%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $196 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $42,744
- Equity at exit
- $18,630
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $113,198
- Equity at exit
- $10,803
Cash invested: $34,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98010
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,466 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $1,018
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,238
- Closing costs
- $3,748
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,950 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,950 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,950 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,950 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,950 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,950 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,950 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,950 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,950 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,950 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,950 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,950 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$124,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,999
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,368
- − Management
- −$2,368
- − Depreciation
- −$3,635
- Taxable income
- $10,929
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,623
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 20 photos
This completely remodeled home in Black Diamond is move-in ready and loaded with updates. The open-concept kitchen and living area features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and fresh cabinetry. The home has a fully fenced backyard that’s perfect for pets or outdoor relaxing.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing and increase its value
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value
- Both Adding a smart home system — Can increase the home's value and attract more buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers ↑
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing and increase its value ↑
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — Can increase the home's value and attract more buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enumclaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300001
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,441
- Composite
- 55.21/100
- National rank
- #2736
- State rank
- #46 of 291 in WA
Livability — Black Diamond
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #87
- US rank
- #1663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Black Diamond, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 6,857
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,857
- Household income
- $142,048
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 12% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.21%
- Current HPI
- 322.0508
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.21%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $124,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…