6356 Scotch Pine Rd · Cannelton, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this completely remodeled 3 bed, 2 bath doublewide with new roof, sitting on 3.75 acres. This property offers plenty of space for whatever you want to do outside. Call to schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Plenty of space
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Assessor-reported lot size: 3.75 acres
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story (1 level); Double-wide mobile home; Residential zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built as above-grade finished living area
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Primary bedroom with private bath; Main level primary bedroom; Open floor plan; Utility room / laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (21.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (31.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#643 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Tell City-Troy Twp School Corporation (rural): math 37% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #108 of 301 in IN (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 31 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Perry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.20%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,152
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6146 Scotch Pine Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 8mo | $163,000 | $108 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $40,553
- Equity at exit
- $111,787
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $128,454
- Equity at exit
- $207,107
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47520
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,977/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $170,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $170,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$199,900 Active
-
2026-05-15$199,900 Active 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Check out this completely remodeled 3 bed, 2 bath doublewide with new roof, sitting on 3.75 acres. This property offers plenty of space for whatever you want to do outside. Call to schedule your showing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,977 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,977 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,977
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,119
- − Management
- −$1,119
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$5,547
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,331
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,145/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tell City-Troy Twp School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1811260
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,706
- Composite
- 37.35/100
- National rank
- #4435
- State rank
- #108 of 301 in IN
Livability — Cannelton
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #643
- US rank
- #24317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,768
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,125 people
- By 2030
- 18,912 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 18,239 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 17,402 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 15,420 · -19.4%
- By 2100
- 11,987 · -37.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 34.3% · R 64.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.8pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: D+11.6 2008: D+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.46%
- Current HPI
- 201.5059
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $199,900 SIRA
- 2026-05-15 Listed $199,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,977 · -8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…