6061 Decker Rd · Saw Creek, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your tranquil retreat in Saw Creek Estates is here. Nestled in the serene beauty of the Pocono Mountains, this charming 3-bedroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort and nature. Surrounded by lush woodlands, the home features spacious living areas filled with natural light, thanks to large windows that frame breathtaking forest views. The open-concept kitchen and dining area provide an ideal space for family gatherings and entertaining, while a cozy stone fireplace adds warmth and ambiance during the cooler months. Step outside to the expansive deck, perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or hosting friends under the stars. Located in an A+ community and just minutes from hiki
Key facts
- Large windows
- Cozy stone fireplace
- Open-concept kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee listed (annual)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service
- Home design: Residential zoning; Above-grade finished living area listed; Below-grade finished living area listed
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built unknown
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Sloped lot; Property has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Replacement windows; Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Family room on lower level; Full finished basement (other finished areas)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($651/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Saw Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,538 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 290 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.11%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,924
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -17.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Canterbury Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-3%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $175 | 74 |
| 112 Essex Ct | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 19mo | $165,000 | $164 | 74 |
| 3126 Snowden Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $263 | 73 |
| 5936 Decker Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (+5%) | 7mo | $218,000 | $202 | 65 |
| 167 Dorchester Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $181 | 59 |
| 225 Canterbury Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-2%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 5913 NE Decker Rd NE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+13%) | 9mo | $224,000 | $193 | 46 |
| 6228 Decker Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+14%) | 9mo | $292,000 | $248 | 44 |
| 172 Dover Drive Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+11%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $140 | 40 |
| 114 Salisbury Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+12%) | 12mo | $212,500 | $184 | 38 |
| 210 Dover Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (+12%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $203 | 36 |
| 1086 Hampstead Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+14%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $157 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $34,605
- Equity at exit
- $100,465
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $111,741
- Equity at exit
- $159,698
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18324
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$312 /mo · $3,744/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$183
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 353 Saunders Dr Unit PA East Stroudsburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $183 · $2,196/yr
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $210,000 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-03$210,000 Active 848-char remark
-
2025-09-12historical
-
2025-07-09status Active
-
2025-07-09status Active
-
2025-07-07status Pending
-
2025-07-07status Pending
-
2025-07-01price $220,000
-
2025-07-01price $220,000
-
2025-06-05$225,000 Active
-
2025-06-04$225,000 Active
-
2025-05-04historical
-
2025-03-04price $225,000
-
2025-03-03price $225,000
-
2025-01-03$239,000 Active
-
2025-01-03$239,000 Active
-
2024-03-09historical $1,600
-
2024-02-27$1,600
-
2024-02-27historical $1,800
-
2024-01-29$1,800
-
2023-08-23soldstatus $210,000
-
2023-08-07soldstatus $210,000 Closed
-
2023-06-25$210,000 Active
-
2020-02-19$116,000
-
2001-02-01soldstatus $74,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,744 · $312/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,744 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,744
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − HOA
- −$2,196
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$2,686
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Saw Creek
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1538
- US rank
- #20241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saw Creek, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,591
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 21% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.51%
- Current HPI
- 243.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+181.9% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed $210,000 GLVRMLS
- 2025-09-12 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2025-07-09 Relisted — PMAR
- 2025-07-09 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2025-07-07 Pending — PMAR
- 2025-07-07 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $220,000 PMAR
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $220,000 GLVRMLS
- 2025-06-05 Listed $225,000 PMAR
- 2025-06-04 Listed $225,000 GLVRMLS
- 2025-05-04 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $225,000 PMAR
- 2025-03-03 Price Changed $225,000 GLVRMLS
- 2025-01-03 Listed $239,000 PMAR
- 2025-01-03 Listed $239,000 GLVRMLS
- 2024-03-09 Rental Removed $1,600 GLVRMLS
- 2024-02-27 Listed for Rent $1,600 GLVRMLS
- 2024-02-27 Rental Removed $1,800 PMAR
- 2024-01-29 Listed for Rent $1,800 PMAR
- 2023-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) $210,000 PMAR
- 2023-06-25 Listed $210,000 PMAR
- 2020-02-19 Listed $116,000 PMAR
- 2001-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,744 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…