🏗️ New Construction
Vista Plan · Strongsville, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Cash flow +5.0/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$352,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Entertain with ease in the Vista new home design with open gathering room, café, and kitchen. The large island and ample counterspace are a chef's dream while the cabinet space is plentiful. Enjoy coffee in the optional sunroom which offers a ton of natural light. Add a second story to your new home, complete with a loft, bedroom and bath to accommodate out of town guests and grandkids.
Key facts
- Second story
- Loft
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $353k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (20.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (30.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $245k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#27 in OH, #243 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
- Columbia Local (rural): math 55% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #211 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($311k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.14%
- DSCR
- 0.55
- GRM
- 14.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $425,949
- List price
- $352,990
- Delta
- -17.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15386 S Boone Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,654 (+10%) | 3mo | $415,000 | $251 | 42 |
| 14434 S Marks Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,319 (-12%) | 23mo | $230,000 | $174 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-133,194
- Equity at exit
- $63,510
- IRR
- -44.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.66×
- Total profit
- $-198,512
- Equity at exit
- $36,828
Cash invested: $119,266 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44028
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,234
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$532 /mo · $6,389/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $-1,008
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-714 | -5% $-861 | +0% $-1,008 | +5% $-1,155 | +10% $-1,303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,202 | -5% $-1,105 | +0% $-1,008 | +5% $-911 | +10% $-815 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-794 | -0.5pp $-900 | base $-1,008 | +0.5pp $-1,119 | +1.0pp $-1,231 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,487
- Closing costs
- $12,778
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21600 Royalton Rd Strongsville, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,450 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $352,990 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $352,990 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $352,990 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $352,990 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $352,990 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $352,990 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $352,990 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $352,990 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $352,990 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $352,990 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $352,990 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $352,990 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $352,990 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $352,990 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $352,990 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $352,990 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Entertain with ease in the Vista new home design with open gathering room, café, and kitchen. The large island and ample counterspace are a chef's dream while the cabinet space is plentiful. Enjoy coffee in the optional sunroom which offers a ton of natural light. Add a second story to your new home, complete with a loft, bedroom and bath to accommodate out of town guests and grandkids.
-
2025-12-20$347,990 Active 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Entertain with ease in the Vista new home design with open gathering room, café, and kitchen. The large island and ample counterspace are a chef's dream while the cabinet space is plentiful. Enjoy coffee in the optional sunroom which offers a ton of natural light. Add a second story to your new home, complete with a loft, bedroom and bath to accommodate out of town guests and grandkids.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,860
- − Property taxes
- −$6,389
- − Insurance
- −$2,130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,352
- − Management
- −$2,352
- − Depreciation
- −$12,391
- Taxable loss
- −$20,074
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,818
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,280/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior and interior. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904814
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,862
- Composite
- 55.31/100
- National rank
- #1261
- State rank
- #211 of 656 in OH
Livability — Strongsville
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #243
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lorain · 305,041 people
- City population
- 46,110
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,313
- Household income
- $86,991
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.16%
- Current HPI
- 223.2008
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+1.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $352,990 Zillow
- 2025-12-20 Listed $347,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…