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Vista Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 30.41
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.0/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$352,990

Vista Plan · Strongsville, OH 44028
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,501 sqft · SingleFamily · 183 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Entertain with ease in the Vista new home design with open gathering room, café, and kitchen. The large island and ample counterspace are a chef's dream while the cabinet space is plentiful. Enjoy coffee in the optional sunroom which offers a ton of natural light. Add a second story to your new home, complete with a loft, bedroom and bath to accommodate out of town guests and grandkids.

Key facts

  • Second story
  • Loft
  • Natural light

Tags

OPEN GATHERING ROOMAMPLE COUNTERSPACEOPTIONAL SUNROOMNATURAL LIGHTSECOND STORYLOFT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $352,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $425,949.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $353k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (20.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (30.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $245k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#27 in OH, #243 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Columbia Local (rural): math 55% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #211 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($311k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $245,000 (30.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
3.45%
Cash-on-cash
-10.14%
DSCR
0.55
GRM
14.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$425,949
List price
$352,990
Delta
-17.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15386 S Boone Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,654 (+10%) 3mo $415,000 $251 42
14434 S Marks Rd 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,319 (-12%) 23mo $230,000 $174 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.6%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-133,194
Equity at exit
$63,510
10-year hold
IRR
-44.5%
Equity multiple
-0.66×
Total profit
$-198,512
Equity at exit
$36,828

Cash invested: $119,266 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44028

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,234
Tax est. 1.5%
$532 /mo · $6,389/yr
Insurance
$177
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$514
Net cashflow
$-1,008

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,726
Max offer price $280,070
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-714 -5% $-861 +0% $-1,008 +5% $-1,155 +10% $-1,303
Rent -10% $-1,202 -5% $-1,105 +0% $-1,008 +5% $-911 +10% $-815
Rate -1.0pp $-794 -0.5pp $-900 base $-1,008 +0.5pp $-1,119 +1.0pp $-1,231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$106,487
Closing costs
$12,778
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21600 Royalton Rd Strongsville, OH 2.0–3.0 2.0 1287 $2,450 $1.90 2d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $352,990 Active 183 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $352,990 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $352,990 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $352,990 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $352,990 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $352,990 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $352,990 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $352,990 Active 172 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $352,990 Active 171 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $352,990 Active 170 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $352,990 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $352,990 Active 166 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $352,990 Active 165 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $352,990 Active 164 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $352,990 Active 163 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $352,990 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Entertain with ease in the Vista new home design with open gathering room, café, and kitchen. The large island and ample counterspace are a chef's dream while the cabinet space is plentiful. Enjoy coffee in the optional sunroom which offers a ton of natural light. Add a second story to your new home, complete with a loft, bedroom and bath to accommodate out of town guests and grandkids.

  17. 2025-12-20
    listed $347,990 Active 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Entertain with ease in the Vista new home design with open gathering room, café, and kitchen. The large island and ample counterspace are a chef's dream while the cabinet space is plentiful. Enjoy coffee in the optional sunroom which offers a ton of natural light. Add a second story to your new home, complete with a loft, bedroom and bath to accommodate out of town guests and grandkids.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,400
− Mortgage interest
−$23,860
− Property taxes
−$6,389
− Insurance
−$2,130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,352
− Management
−$2,352
− Depreciation
−$12,391
Taxable loss
−$20,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,818
After-tax cash flow
$-7,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior and interior. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia Local
NCES district ID
3904814
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$68,862
Composite
55.31/100
National rank
#1261
State rank
#211 of 656 in OH

Livability — Strongsville

Score
88/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#243

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lorain · 305,041 people
City population
46,110
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,313
Household income
$86,991
Rent vs Own
8.9% rent · 91.1% own

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Italian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.16%
Current HPI
223.2008
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $352,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $347,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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