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810 W Southern Ave
C Composite 59.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

810 W Southern Ave · Muskegon, MI 49441
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,496 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1900 9,583 sqft lot Est $212k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Opportunity. Solid 2 unit income property located in the City of Muskegon. The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The upper level unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, providing flexible rental options and strong income potential. Rental certificates are in place and valid through May 2028, offering added value and peace of mind for investors. This property is ideal for both seasoned investors and those looking to expand their portfolio with a well maintained, income producing asset. A smart addition to any investment strategy.

Key facts

  • Income property
  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYINCOME PROPERTYFLEXIBLE RENTAL OPTIONSSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALINCOME PRODUCING ASSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by RE/MAX Lakeshore

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Paved, public-maintained road access; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 175 (0.22 acres)

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry in unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (1.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of (urban): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #534 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.04%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,432
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
905 W Forest Ave 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,414 (-6%) 5mo $169,000 $120 80
1092 Ireland Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,582 (+6%) 8mo $246,000 $155 66
1643 Henry St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (-9%) 8mo $48,500 $36 63
314 W Southern Ave 0.58mi 4/1.5 1,558 (+4%) 2mo $141,400 $91 63
817 W Dale Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,672 (+12%) 1mo $210,000 $126 62
352 Mason Ave 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,456 (-3%) 2mo $255,000 $175 61
1886 Crowley St 0.43mi 4/1.0 1,337 (-11%) 7mo $189,900 $142 52
1875 Henry St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,310 (-12%) 3mo $199,900 $153 52
1936 Crowley St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,388 (-7%) 6mo $210,000 $151 51
1781 Davis St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (-4%) 9mo $146,900 $102 50
1704 7th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (-9%) 6mo $165,000 $121 44
1141 W Larch Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,315 (-12%) 9mo $222,000 $169 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-3,443
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$56,893
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49441

Rents YoY
18.1%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,679 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,499/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,376
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1644 Beidler St Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,700 $1.38 21d 1 0.19mi
449 Washington Ave Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,695 $1.47 21d 1 0.42mi
2065 Dowd St Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,695 $1.38 21d 1 0.72mi
2073 Dowd St Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.5 1228 $1,750 $1.43 21d 1 0.74mi
80 E Grand Ave Muskegon, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,300 $1.08 21d 1 1.04mi
1188 Spring St Muskegon, MI 3.0 1.0 1443 $1,500 $1.04 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity. Solid 2 unit income property located in the City of Muskegon. The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The upper level unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, providing flexible rental options and strong income potential. Rental certificates are in place and valid through May 2028, offering added value and peace of mind for investors. This property is ideal for both seasoned investors and those looking to expand their portfolio with a well maintained, income producing asset. A smart addition to any investment strategy.

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity. Solid 2 unit income property located in the City of Muskegon. The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The upper level unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, providing flexible rental options and strong income potential. Rental certificates are in place and valid through May 2028, offering added value and peace of mind for investors. This property is ideal for both seasoned investors and those looking to expand their portfolio with a well maintained, income producing asset. A smart addition to any investment strategy.

  3. 2026-02-25
    listed $169,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity. Solid 2 unit income property located in the City of Muskegon. The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The upper level unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, providing flexible rental options and strong income potential. Rental certificates are in place and valid through May 2028, offering added value and peace of mind for investors. This property is ideal for both seasoned investors and those looking to expand their portfolio with a well maintained, income producing asset. A smart addition to any investment strategy.

  4. 2026-02-25
    listed $169,900 Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity. Solid 2 unit income property located in the City of Muskegon. The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The upper level unit offers 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, providing flexible rental options and strong income potential. Rental certificates are in place and valid through May 2028, offering added value and peace of mind for investors. This property is ideal for both seasoned investors and those looking to expand their portfolio with a well maintained, income producing asset. A smart addition to any investment strategy.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,499 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,058 · $171/mo
Expected delta
+$559/yr (+$47/mo · 37.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,143
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,499
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,611
− Management
−$1,611
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$27
After-tax cash flow
$2,846/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of
NCES district ID
2624840
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$27,622
Composite
5.8/100
National rank
#10017
State rank
#534 of 540 in MI

Livability — Muskegon

Score
79/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#2096

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Muskegon, MI
County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
City population
44,766
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,779
Household income
$67,427
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
938.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -448.86%
Current HPI
263.8317
Rent YoY
▲ 18.11%
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,499 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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