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151 Monte Vista Rd
D+ Composite 47.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$258,500

151 Monte Vista Rd · Statesville, NC 28625
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,482 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1997 0.45 ac lot Est $296k · 13% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming ranch home featuring one level floor plan, open living and dining areas. The inviting living room offers a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing and entertaining. Recently remodeled kitchen boasts new appliances, providing a fresh, modern feel. Covered porch and large garage add room for a 'work area". A wonderful opportunity for first-time homeowners or downsizing seniors seeking comfort, functionality, and value. This property needs some work but has great potential - Needs some paint, carpet and wooden floor refinished.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • New appliances
  • One level floor plan

Tags

ONE LEVEL FLOOR PLANOPEN LIVING AND DINING AREASCOZY FIREPLACERECENTLY REMODELED KITCHENNEW APPLIANCESCOVERED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Development status: Completed; Zoning: R-10; Lot approximately 0.45 acres (dimensions 100x200), elevation ~1000
  • HOA & community: No HOA dues

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Driveway with 2 open parking spaces; Has garage and open parking
  • Utilities: County water; Septic system installed
  • Home design: Single family residence; Site built; 1 story with F.R.O.G. (finished room over garage)
  • Construction: Aluminum and block construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Outbuilding; Steep slope lot; Concrete / paved public road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop / electric range / oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Gas for cooling system listed
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Ceiling fan(s); Gas log fireplace with insert
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $258k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($318/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (22.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: N B Mills Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 411 students, 98% FRL); The Brawley School (math 91% / reading 88%, grade A+, #2 of 475 statewide, top 0%, 639 students, 9% FRL); Statesville High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #484 of 535 statewide, top 91%, 879 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 38% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,597 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.44%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,400
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Bass Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+4%) 16mo $335,000 $218 76
136 Monte Vista Rd 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,457 (-2%) 16mo $291,000 $200 76
242 Bradley Farm Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,586 (+7%) 0mo $364,900 $230 71
301 Monticello Rd 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,503 (+1%) 22mo $296,000 $197 69
177 Monticello Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,586 (+7%) 2mo $360,000 $227 67
116 Miller Farm Rd 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,439 (-3%) 13mo $275,000 $191 67
342 Monticello Rd 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,562 (+5%) 14mo $319,000 $204 61
155 Timberbrook Ln 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,683 (+14%) 17mo $263,000 $156 51
126 Flatrock Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-6%) 17mo $245,000 $177 44
129 Sara Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,688 (+14%) 8mo $335,000 $198 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-40,874
Equity at exit
$38,543
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-36,159
Equity at exit
$22,350

Cash invested: $72,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28625

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,016 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,356
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,234/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,982
Max offer price $258,500
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $173 -5% $100 +0% $26 +5% $-47 +10% $-120
Rent -10% $-133 -5% $-53 +0% $26 +5% $106 +10% $186
Rate -1.0pp $157 -0.5pp $92 base $26 +0.5pp $-41 +1.0pp $-109

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,625
Closing costs
$7,755
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1825 Old Wilkesboro Rd Statesville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,043 $1.16 14d 1 0.87mi
1378 Melviney St Statesville, NC 4.0 3.0 1723 $2,150 $1.25 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $258,500 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $258,500 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $258,500 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $258,500 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $258,500 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $258,500 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $258,500 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $258,500 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $258,500 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $258,500 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $258,500 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $258,500 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $258,500 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $258,500 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $258,500 Active 82 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $268,500
  17. 2026-03-09
    listed $275,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,234 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,120 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$886/yr (+$74/mo · 71.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,192
− Mortgage interest
−$14,480
− Property taxes
−$1,234
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,935
− Management
−$1,935
− Depreciation
−$7,520
Taxable loss
−$4,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,009
After-tax cash flow
$1,327/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iredell-Statesville Schools
NCES district ID
3702310
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,201
Composite
44.98/100
National rank
#2703
State rank
#51 of 178 in NC

Livability — Statesville

Score
59/100
State rank
#557
US rank
#20505

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Iredell County · 182,638 people
City population
78,393
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
39,574
Household income
$64,060
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
905.0

Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,510 people
By 2030
206,171 · +6.0%
By 2040
227,781 · +17.1%
By 2050
245,102 · +26.0%
By 2075
280,896 · +44.4%
By 2100
294,375 · +51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Iredell

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.88%
Current HPI
237.0011
Rent YoY
▲ 2.72%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $268,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $275,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,234 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…