2801 S Stone Rd #99 · Marion, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$22,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Basketball court
- Community events
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $22k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 46.6% vs local median 8.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#337 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #277 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 143.84%
- DSCR
- 7.40
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.06×
- Total profit
- $43,478
- Equity at exit
- $3,280
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.99×
- Total profit
- $98,483
- Equity at exit
- $1,902
Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46953
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$115
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$28 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $738
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,500
- Closing costs
- $660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
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2026-06-19days on market $22,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $22,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $22,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $22,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $22,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $22,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $22,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $22,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $22,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $22,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $22,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $22,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $21,500 Active 149 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $21,500 Active 148 DOM
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2026-02-01price $27,600 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-01-02$28,100 Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,232
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,082
- − Management
- −$1,082
- − Depreciation
- −$640
- Taxable income
- $9,049
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,172
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minor repairs needed. Fresh coats of paint and updated fixtures would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Kitchen countertops — Need cleaning
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
- Minor Carpeted floors — Some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint fresh coats — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace countertops — New countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality
- Both Deep clean carpets — Clean carpets improve indoor air quality and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · Need cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Carpeted floors · Some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint fresh coats — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace countertops — New countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality ↑
- Both Deep clean carpets — Clean carpets improve indoor air quality and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1806390
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,415
- Composite
- 17.13/100
- National rank
- #9115
- State rank
- #277 of 301 in IN
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #13006
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Grant County · 41,561 people
- City population
- 41,561
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,372
- Household income
- $46,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 597.0
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,394 people
- By 2030
- 62,145 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 57,252 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 52,968 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 45,986 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 39,400 · -38.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.47%
- Current HPI
- 171.7246
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-1.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $27,600 Zillow
- 2026-01-02 Listed $28,100 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…