8324 Lesley St · Woodville, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a property that requires some TLC? This could be the perfect investment opportunity for you! This property has a lot of potential, but it needs someone who has the vision and the drive to bring it back to its former glory. It has great bones and a solid foundation, but it just needs some cosmetic updates to bring it up to modern standards. With a little bit of investment, you could turn this property into a dream home or a profitable rental property. Seller will offer concessions!
Key facts
- 0.75 acre lot
- Built 1992
- Listed 33 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking type
- Utilities: Other water source; Other utilities
- Home design: Mobile home (manufactured single-family residence); Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.75 acres; Not in a subdivision; Directions: West on Crystal Rd then north on Lesley St
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (room-level details not provided)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Has cooling (type listed as other)
- Interior features: Includes unspecified appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 4.3% in Woodville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.85%
- DSCR
- 4.33
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $20,533
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 41.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $55,516
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32305
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $696/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-10status $49,900 Pending 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05price $49,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $55,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-05-16price $64,900
-
2026-05-08historical
-
2026-05-06price $74,900
-
2026-05-04price $79,900
-
2026-05-02price $84,900
-
2026-04-28$89,900 Active
-
2024-01-10soldstatus $50,000
-
2024-01-08soldstatus $50,000 Closed 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Looking for a property that requires some TLC? This could be the perfect investment opportunity for you! This property has a lot of potential, but it needs someone who has the vision and the drive to bring it back to its former glory. It has great bones and a solid foundation, but it just needs some cosmetic updates to bring it up to modern standards. With a little bit of investment, you could turn this property into a dream home or a profitable rental property. Seller will offer concessions!
-
2024-01-02historical Active Under Contract 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Looking for a property that requires some TLC? This could be the perfect investment opportunity for you! This property has a lot of potential, but it needs someone who has the vision and the drive to bring it back to its former glory. It has great bones and a solid foundation, but it just needs some cosmetic updates to bring it up to modern standards. With a little bit of investment, you could turn this property into a dream home or a profitable rental property. Seller will offer concessions!
-
2023-11-16$72,500 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Looking for a property that requires some TLC? This could be the perfect investment opportunity for you! This property has a lot of potential, but it needs someone who has the vision and the drive to bring it back to its former glory. It has great bones and a solid foundation, but it just needs some cosmetic updates to bring it up to modern standards. With a little bit of investment, you could turn this property into a dream home or a profitable rental property. Seller will offer concessions!
-
2023-11-15historical
-
2023-11-02price $74,000
-
2023-10-24status Active
-
2023-10-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-10-03$79,000 Active
-
2018-11-02historical
-
2018-09-10$57,250
-
2010-08-18soldstatus $30,000
-
2010-07-07historical
-
2009-07-07$56,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,409
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$696
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,473
- − Management
- −$1,473
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,237
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Woodville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #581
- US rank
- #10723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodville, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,384
- Household income
- $48,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 654.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.40%
- Current HPI
- 218.4834
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+14.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — Daytona MLS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $64,900 Daytona MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listing Removed — Daytona MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $74,900 Daytona MLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $79,900 Daytona MLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $84,900 Daytona MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $89,900 Daytona MLS
- 2024-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-08 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CATRS
- 2024-01-02 Contingent — CATRS
- 2023-11-16 Listed $72,500 CATRS
- 2023-11-15 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $74,000 CATRS
- 2023-10-24 Relisted — CATRS
- 2023-10-23 Contingent — CATRS
- 2023-10-03 Listed $79,000 CATRS
- 2018-11-02 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2018-09-10 Listed $57,250 CATRS
- 2010-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-07 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2009-07-07 Listed $56,900 CATRS
Property tax history
+14.5%/yrLatest (2025): $696 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…