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1309 N 9th St
C+ Composite 60.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$96,900

1309 N 9th St · Independence, KS 67301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1989 10,558 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1989

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential manufactured single-family residence; Attached property; 1,344 above-grade finished area
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Manufactured home (31–40 years old)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Wood and other fencing; Located within city limits; Lot approximately 60 x 170 feet

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on the first floor)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling (central)
  • Interior features: Living/dining combo; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located off the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#285 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Independence (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #76 of 169 in KS (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eisenhower Elem (391 students, 75% FRL); Independence Middle (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #85 of 219 statewide, top 40%, 433 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 49% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $670 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.11%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$279
Equity at exit
$14,448
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$20,770
Equity at exit
$8,378

Cash invested: $27,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67301

Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$508
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $777/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $776
Max offer price $96,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $306 -5% $279 +0% $251 +5% $224 +10% $196
Rent -10% $165 -5% $208 +0% $251 +5% $294 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $300 -0.5pp $276 base $251 +0.5pp $226 +1.0pp $201

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,225
Closing costs
$2,907
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $96,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $96,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    pricestatusdays on market $96,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
  5. 2026-05-05
    listed $94,900 Active
  6. 2025-04-14
    soldstatus
  7. 2022-05-04
    soldstatus
  8. 2017-09-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$777 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,366 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$590/yr (+$49/mo · 75.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,131
− Mortgage interest
−$5,428
− Property taxes
−$777
− Insurance
−$484
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$2,819
Taxable income
$1,522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$365
After-tax cash flow
$2,649/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independence
NCES district ID
2007650
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,327
Composite
28.45/100
National rank
#6750
State rank
#76 of 169 in KS

Livability — Independence

Score
65/100
State rank
#285
US rank
#12779

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Independence, KS
Population (ZIP)
12,996

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,729 people
By 2030
27,786 · -6.5%
By 2040
24,201 · -18.6%
By 2050
21,280 · -28.4%
By 2075
16,754 · -43.6%
By 2100
14,088 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.6% · R 74.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -51.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.1 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.85%
Current HPI
126.8212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $94,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $777 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…