5505 Sun Harbor Rd #213 · Panama City, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$168,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Waterfront condo with spectacular sunset views right from your own private furnished balcony. This cozy coastal studio is big on charm, You will have direct gulf access! SHORT-TERM RENTALS ALLOWED! Welcome to resort-style living at Sun Harbor, where comfort, convenience, and true waterfront living come together. This second-level condo offers beautiful unobstructed water views and is perfect as a full-time residence, second home, or rental investment. Inside, you'll find renovated kitchen with new countertops, new cabinets, and a new dishwasher. This condo also includes a washer and dryer for added convenience. Step outside to your private covered balcony and enjoy sparkling water views, p
Key facts
- Direct gulf access
- Waterfront condo
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building includes dumpster; Units partially furnished
- HOA & community: Has a homeowners association; Association amenities include barbecue and picnic area; Community features include barbecue, playground, waterfront access, community pool, and short-term rental allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Additional paved parking; Parking lot
- Security: Fire sprinkler system; Fire alarm; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Entry level is 2; Has a view; Resort zoning
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Balcony; Covered patio/porch; Patio; Porch; Community in-ground pool with electric heat and fenced area; Paved lot; Bay front waterfront; City street and private road frontage; public maintained and maintained road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Wall cooling units
- Interior features: Living room; Full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (3.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jinks Middle School (math 41% / reading 42%, grade F, #348 of 571 statewide, top 62%, 570 students, 70% FRL); Bay High School (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 1,255 students, 53% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bay average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 262 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $168k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.01%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -46.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-63,602
- Equity at exit
- $25,049
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.40×
- Total profit
- $-113,094
- Equity at exit
- $14,526
Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$881
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,797/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$475
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $-505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-410 | -5% $-458 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-553 | +10% $-600 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-655 | -5% $-580 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-430 | +10% $-356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-421 | -0.5pp $-463 | base $-505 | +0.5pp $-549 | +1.0pp $-593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,000
- Closing costs
- $5,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5505 Sun Harbor Rd Unit 1541779P Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $2,519 | $5.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4324 W 20th St Panama City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1000 | $1,135 | $1.14 | 15d | 12 | 0.83mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $168,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $168,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $168,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $168,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $168,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $168,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $168,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $168,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $168,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $168,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $168,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $172,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $172,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $172,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $172,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $172,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $172,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $172,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $172,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$172,000 Active
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2016-01-09soldstatus $62,000
-
2015-09-21$64,500
-
2009-09-17$109,000
-
2007-05-08$199,900
-
2001-05-15soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,797 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,797 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,411
- − Property taxes
- −$1,797
- − Insurance
- −$5,958
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − HOA
- −$5,700
- − Depreciation
- −$4,887
- Taxable loss
- −$8,652
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,077
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,947
- Household income
- $52,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.12%
- Current HPI
- 290.3312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+320.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $168,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $172,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2016-01-09 Sold (MLS) $62,000 CPARMLS
- 2015-09-21 Listed $64,500 CPARMLS
- 2009-09-17 Listed $109,000 CPARMLS
- 2007-05-08 Listed $199,900 CPARMLS
- 2001-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,797 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…