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1511 N 7th St
D Composite 44.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

1511 N 7th St · Wichita Falls, TX 76306
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 841 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 219 Days on market
Built 1940 7,013 sqft lot $30/sqft · 68% below area ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a rare opportunity to acquire multiple neighboring single-family homes in the heart of Wichita Falls, ideal for developers, investors, or families seeking long-term value. The properties are being sold as-is and offer the added benefit of no HOA. Centrally located, the homes provide convenient access to city amenities, parks, and major highways. Offered at modest price points, this portfolio presents an excellent opportunity for smaller investors as well. Whether you are looking to flip, hold as rentals, redevelop, or create a family compound with character and ample outdoor space, this is a unique opportunity not to be missed.

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • No hoa
  • Corner lot

Tags

NO HOACORNER LOTAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 39.8% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.50%
Cap rate
39.85%
Cash-on-cash
119.83%
DSCR
6.33
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,582
List price
$25,000
Delta
-67.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1509 N 7th St 0.01mi 2/1.0 (-1) 869 (+3%) 6mo $50,000 $58 84

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.75×
Total profit
$40,282
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.09×
Total profit
$91,638
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76306

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $578/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $240
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $713 -5% $706 +0% $699 +5% $692 +10% $685
Rent -10% $610 -5% $655 +0% $699 +5% $743 +10% $788
Rate -1.0pp $712 -0.5pp $705 base $699 +0.5pp $693 +1.0pp $686

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $895 $1.22 44d 6 1.02mi
1810 7th St Unit 1/2 Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 806 $775 $0.96 44d 1 1.07mi
1200 Ridgeway Dr Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 889 $1,025 $1.15 44d 5 1.35mi
2801 Roanoke Dr Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $990 $1.13 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $25,000 Active 219 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 218 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 217 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 216 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 215 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 213 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 212 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 210 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 209 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 208 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 207 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,000 Active 204 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 202 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 201 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 200 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 199 DOM
  17. 2026-03-23
    price $25,000 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    This is a rare opportunity to acquire multiple neighboring single-family homes in the heart of Wichita Falls, ideal for developers, investors, or families seeking long-term value. The properties are being sold as-is and offer the added benefit of no HOA. Centrally located, the homes provide convenient access to city amenities, parks, and major highways. Offered at modest price points, this portfolio presents an excellent opportunity for smaller investors as well. Whether you are looking to flip, hold as rentals, redevelop, or create a family compound with character and ample outdoor space, this is a unique opportunity not to be missed.

  18. 2025-11-12
    listed $30,000 Active 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    This is a rare opportunity to acquire multiple neighboring single-family homes in the heart of Wichita Falls, ideal for developers, investors, or families seeking long-term value. The properties are being sold as-is and offer the added benefit of no HOA. Centrally located, the homes provide convenient access to city amenities, parks, and major highways. Offered at modest price points, this portfolio presents an excellent opportunity for smaller investors as well. Whether you are looking to flip, hold as rentals, redevelop, or create a family compound with character and ample outdoor space, this is a unique opportunity not to be missed.

  19. 2025-11-08
    historical
  20. 2025-09-01
    listed $40,000 Active
  21. 2023-10-02
    soldstatus
  22. 2023-05-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$578 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$578 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 35% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,499
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$578
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,080
− Management
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$8,509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,042
After-tax cash flow
$6,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,963
Household income
$46,957
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
235.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.29%
Current HPI
165.6314
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $25,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $30,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $40,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-10-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-05-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $578 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…