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7060 Timber Trl
D- Composite 37.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

7060 Timber Trl · Southaven, MS 38672
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1983 1.50 ac lot $175/sqft · 13% above area Est $397k · 12% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located on a 1.5-acre lot surrounded by trees, with pond in the back. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping and restaurants. The home has just gone under some extensive repairs, new landscaping, new fencing, some new flooring, new deck, and all new vinyl siding. The home is clean, and ready for move in today. Schedule your showing.

Key facts

  • New fencing
  • New landscaping
  • New flooring

Tags

1.5-ACRE LOTPOND IN THE BACKNEW LANDSCAPINGNEW FENCINGNEW FLOORINGNEW DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (15.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (30.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Southaven Intermediate School (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #203 of 375 statewide, top 56%, 990 students, 100% FRL); Southaven Middle School (math 33% / reading 25%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,456 students, 100% FRL); Southaven High School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #88 of 197 statewide, top 45%, 1,850 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $244,192 (30.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.68%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$396,666
List price
$349,900
Delta
-11.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2539 Greencliff Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 2,116 (+6%) 9mo $309,000 $146 61
2543 Saint Charles Cv 0.63mi 3/2.0 2,000 (+0%) 5mo $389,900 $195 60
2323 Kindlewood Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,054 (+3%) 7mo $280,000 $136 60
7160 E Pecan Rdg 0.68mi 3/2.5 2,076 (+4%) 1mo $309,000 $149 57
2520 Saint Charles Cv 0.63mi 3/2.0 2,098 (+5%) 2mo $406,900 $194 55
2892 Market Square Ave 0.52mi 3/3.0 2,153 (+8%) 7mo $402,900 $187 54
2531 Saint Charles Cv 0.65mi 3/2.0 2,079 (+4%) 7mo $402,900 $194 51
2557 Saint Charles Cv 0.63mi 3/2.0 2,121 (+6%) 5mo $410,900 $194 50
2334 Heather Rdg 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,800 (-10%) 2mo $295,000 $164 49
6643 Belltower Pl 0.46mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,196 (+10%) 8mo $410,000 $187 48
2035 Greencliff Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,824 (-8%) 2mo $281,000 $154 48
2163 Woodridge Dr 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,930 (-3%) 4mo $330,000 $171 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-75,928
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-91,096
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38672

Home prices YoY
-13.1%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,442 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,989/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$513
Net cashflow
$-301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,823
Max offer price $296,784
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-103 -5% $-202 +0% $-301 +5% $-400 +10% $-499
Rent -10% $-494 -5% $-397 +0% $-301 +5% $-204 +10% $-108
Rate -1.0pp $-124 -0.5pp $-212 base $-301 +0.5pp $-391 +1.0pp $-484

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2704 Greencliff Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 2150 $2,345 $1.09 23d 1 0.38mi
6656 Belltower Pl Southaven, MS 3.0 3.0 2126 $4,400 $2.07 45d 1 0.44mi
2687 Sapper Ln Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 1622 $2,065 $1.27 25d 1 0.48mi
2346 Kindlewood Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,260 $1.13 3d 1 0.53mi
2334 Heather Rdg Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1900 $2,250 $1.18 45d 1 0.60mi
1937 Pecan Meadows Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 2072 $2,040 $0.98 45d 1 0.78mi
1859 Winners Circle Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1773 $2,145 $1.21 5d 1 0.97mi
1865 Winners Cir N Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,890 $1.18 45d 1 0.99mi
1820 Mary Payton Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1699 $1,835 $1.08 45d 1 1.09mi
7875 Sarah Ann Dr S Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1572 $1,800 $1.15 45d 1 1.11mi
2855 Nail Rd E Southaven, MS 2.0 2.0 1740 $3,345 $1.92 45d 1 1.14mi
2777 Rutherford Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 2320 $2,200 $0.95 6d 1 1.20mi
7896 Nature Walk Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1428 $1,705 $1.19 16d 1 1.24mi
5764 Deer Ridge Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 1665 $2,060 $1.24 3d 1 1.25mi
1688 Sarah Ann Dr W Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,695 $1.19 21d 1 1.31mi
1521 Miskelly Dr Unit 1 Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,065 $1.22 45d 1 1.32mi
5683 Antler Trl Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1794 $2,015 $1.12 6d 1 1.33mi
5678 Kuykendall Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 2244 $2,285 $1.02 6d 1 1.34mi
1708 Cherry Rd Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1606 $1,780 $1.11 13d 1 1.39mi
8426 Linda Shore Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1780 $1,910 $1.07 6d 1 1.40mi
2221 Linda Shore Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.5 2226 $2,370 $1.06 3d 1 1.40mi
8181 Martin Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,970 $1.13 18d 1 1.44mi
8035 Park Pike Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1340 $1,695 $1.26 5d 1 1.46mi
7902 Hemlock Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1609 $1,999 $1.24 6d 1 1.46mi
8161 Loden Cv Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 1840 $2,040 $1.11 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    price $349,900 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Located on a 1.5-acre lot surrounded by trees, with pond in the back. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping and restaurants. The home has just gone under some extensive repairs, new landscaping, new fencing, some new flooring, new deck, and all new vinyl siding. The home is clean, and ready for move in today. Schedule your showing.

  2. 2026-03-19
    listed $359,900 Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Located on a 1.5-acre lot surrounded by trees, with pond in the back. Conveniently located with easy access to shopping and restaurants. The home has just gone under some extensive repairs, new landscaping, new fencing, some new flooring, new deck, and all new vinyl siding. The home is clean, and ready for move in today. Schedule your showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,989 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,989 · $249/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,303
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$2,989
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,344
− Management
−$2,344
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$9,903
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,377
After-tax cash flow
$-1,231/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desoto County School District
NCES district ID
2801320
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,272
Composite
39.56/100
National rank
#3933
State rank
#20 of 130 in MS

Livability — Southaven

Score
65/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#12584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southaven, MS
County
DeSoto County · 176,513 people
City population
53,755
Metro
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
Population (ZIP)
16,436
Household income
$116,184
Rent vs Own
11.6% rent · 88.4% own
Severe rent burden
44.0

Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
203,338 people
By 2030
217,692 · +7.1%
By 2040
245,320 · +20.6%
By 2050
270,133 · +32.8%
By 2075
323,341 · +59.0%
By 2100
348,742 · +71.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.90%
Current HPI
172.4771
Rent YoY
Metro
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $349,900 MLSU
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $359,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,989 · +134.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…