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1217 California Pkwy S
D Composite 41.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

1217 California Pkwy S · Fort Worth, TX 76134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1957 8,712 sqft lot $218/sqft · 25% above area Est $191k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Oversized lot
  • Nearby dining

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTALLEY ACCESSNEARBY SHOPPINGNEARBY DININGMAJOR HIGHWAYSOUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking space; Carport with space for 4 vehicles; Driveway
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Attached property; Accessible approach with ramp and accessible doors
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Built in 1957
  • Exterior features: Less than 0.5 acre lot (approximately 0.20 acre); Alley access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Three living/dining areas (living room and dining room included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($407/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (7.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greenbriar El (math 20% / reading 23%, grade F, #3,470 of 4,322 statewide, top 81%, 426 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 73% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,265 (7.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.75%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,303
List price
$195,000
Delta
1.93%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5713 6th Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+0%) 14mo $162,000 $180 74
1224 Hamsted St 0.15mi 3/1.0 956 (+7%) 21mo $180,000 $188 65
5225 Gordon Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 902 (+1%) 9mo $135,000 $150 60
1200 Edney St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+12%) 9mo $189,000 $188 60
1441 Edney St 0.40mi 3/1.0 804 (-10%) 7mo $125,000 $155 58
1436 Sharondale St 0.45mi 3/1.0 978 (+9%) 15mo $208,000 $213 52
916 Hodgson St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+12%) 17mo $157,999 $158 49
5316 Gordon Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 973 (+9%) 9mo $179,900 $185 47
5441 Mcconnell Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,029 (+15%) 12mo $241,500 $235 36
5205 Mcconnell Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 962 (+7%) 23mo $182,000 $189 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-30,647
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-28,796
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76134

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,813 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,530/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,770
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1205 Hamsted St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 768 $1,590 $2.07 22d 1 0.08mi
5612 James Ave Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 824 $1,700 $2.06 3d 8 0.45mi
1000 W Hammond St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 1.17mi
6608 South Fwy Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1047 $1,495 $1.43 2d 8 1.33mi
4318 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $1,399 $1.92 43d 1 1.36mi
4321 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $1,399 $1.92 43d 1 1.37mi
4316 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $1,399 $1.92 43d 3 1.37mi
4317 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 642 $1,399 $2.18 43d 2 1.39mi
1127 Eloise Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 656 $1,911 $2.91 2d 12 1.41mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $195,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    listed $195,000 Active 531-char remark
  15. 2016-09-09
    soldstatus
  16. 2016-09-07
    soldstatus Sold 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  17. 2016-06-06
    status Pending 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  18. 2016-06-03
    historical Active Option Contract 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  19. 2016-05-19
    status Active 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  20. 2016-03-28
    status Pending 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  21. 2016-03-28
    historical 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  22. 2016-02-18
    price $64,900 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  23. 2016-01-28
    listed $65,000 Active 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom, 1 bath house features: Open living room area! Spacious front yard! Centrally located close to popular shopping center and schools. Priced to sell quickly.

  24. 2015-02-17
    historical
  25. 2014-11-20
    price $62,900
  26. 2014-11-14
    price $67,900
  27. 2014-07-10
    listed $69,900 Active
  28. 2004-01-08
    historical
  29. 2003-07-31
    listed $36,000
  30. 1983-12-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,530 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,568 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$38/yr (+$3/mo · 1.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,752
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$3,530
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,740
− Management
−$1,740
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$2,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$679
After-tax cash flow
$1,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Worth ISD
NCES district ID
4819700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,109
Composite
19.61/100
National rank
#8753
State rank
#742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,949
Household income
$70,945
Rent vs Own
40.2% rent · 59.8% own
Severe rent burden
1539.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% Black 31% Two or more races 21% White 19% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 31% Vietnamese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.91%
Current HPI
323.2306
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+441.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $195,000 NTREIS
  • 2016-09-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-09-07 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2016-06-06 Pending NTREIS
  • 2016-06-03 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2016-05-19 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2016-03-28 Pending NTREIS
  • 2016-03-28 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2016-02-18 Price Changed $64,900 NTREIS
  • 2016-01-28 Listed $65,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-02-17 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2014-11-20 Price Changed $62,900 NTREIS
  • 2014-11-14 Price Changed $67,900 NTREIS
  • 2014-07-10 Listed $69,900 NTREIS
  • 2004-01-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2003-07-31 Listed $36,000 NTREIS
  • 1983-12-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,530 · -10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…