11316 College St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is an investment opportunity on Detroit's East Side. This 3 BR brick bungalow is a good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Hardwood floors. Brick fireplace in living room. Two full baths. Corner lot. Full basement.
Key facts
- Brick bungalow
- Brick fireplace
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.1 acres (35 x 129.5)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.57%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $54,943
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11226 Minden St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,169 (0%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $42 | 90 |
| 11461 Engleside St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $63 | 83 |
| 11234 Kenmoor St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 0mo | $75,300 | $63 | 82 |
| 11090 Patrick Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+1%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $47 | 76 |
| 12019 Sanford St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (-2%) | 2mo | $31,500 | $27 | 73 |
| 12802 Dresden St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $22 | 69 |
| 11566 Sanford St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-10%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $52 | 66 |
| 11147 Findlay St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-12%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $34 | 65 |
| 12112 Findlay St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-12%) | 0mo | $23,000 | $22 | 54 |
| 12000 Findlay St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-14%) | 4mo | $62,500 | $63 | 52 |
| 17665 Runyon St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (-6%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $46 | 52 |
| 17650 Beland St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,094 (-6%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $61 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $17,840
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $46,395
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$216 /mo · $2,591/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9142 Isham Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,344 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8193 Traverse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,382 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,294 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 222-char remark
-
2026-06-19$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,591 · $216/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,591 · $216/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,141
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,591
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,227
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+51.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-18 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-05-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-05-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-02-19 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-02-19 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-08-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-08-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-08 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-14 Listed $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-13 Listed $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $51,242 Public Records
- 2012-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-05 Sold (MLS) $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-07-21 Listed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-04-06 Sold (MLS) $41,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-03-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-03-22 Listed $42,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,591 · +37.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…