1409 N North St · Peoria, IL 61604

$39,900

5 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,360 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity! This property offers strong potential for rental income, renovation, or resale. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or start investing, this home provides a solid foundation with value-add potential. Convenient location and endless possibilities make this a must-see for investors.

Key facts

• Value-add potential
• Renovation
• Solid foundation

Tags

• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• RENTAL INCOME
• RENOVATION
• SOLID FOUNDATION
• VALUE-ADD POTENTIAL
• CONVENIENT LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $804 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
• Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.53% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 86.37%
• DSCR: 4.84
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $99,120
• Comps found: 11

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1521 N Bigelow St	0.14mi	6/1.5 (+1)	2,466 (+4%)	8mo	$112,000	$45	75
1417 N Sheridan Rd	0.25mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,348 (-0%)	7mo	$60,000	$26	74
2134 N Bigelow St	0.62mi	5/2.0	2,402 (+2%)	2mo	$124,000	$52	64
1514 N Bigelow St	0.14mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,284 (-3%)	23mo	$52,100	$23	62
1409 N Cole Ct	0.71mi	5/2.0	2,278 (-4%)	0mo	$130,000	$57	59
1630 N Peoria Ave	0.45mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,425 (+3%)	12mo	$100,000	$41	57
1918 N Linn St	0.48mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,524 (+7%)	19mo	$85,000	$34	43
1412 N Broadway St	0.42mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,146 (-9%)	21mo	$90,007	$42	37
1831 N New York Ave	0.69mi	5/2.0	2,104 (-11%)	15mo	$71,400	$34	35
1424 N Cole Ct	0.68mi	4/4.0 (-1)	2,500 (+6%)	15mo	$202,000	$81	31
829 W Meadows Pl	0.68mi	5/2.5	2,642 (+12%)	19mo	$175,000	$66	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 86.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.92×
• Total profit: $43,803
• Equity at exit: $5,949

10-year hold

• IRR: 89.0%
• Equity multiple: 9.98×
• Total profit: $100,271
• Equity at exit: $3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 61604

• Home prices YoY: -24.6%
• Rents YoY: 2.3%
• Active inventory: 180
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,406 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$209
• Tax from tax record: −$81 /mo · $974/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$295
• Net cashflow: $804

Break-even live

Break-even rent $389

Max offer price $39,900

Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $827	-5% $815	+0% $804	+5% $793	+10% $781
Rent	-10% $693	-5% $749	+0% $804	+5% $860	+10% $915
Rate	-1.0pp $824	-0.5pp $814	base $804	+0.5pp $794	+1.0pp $783

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,975
• Closing costs: $1,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1806 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL	4.0	1.5	1668	$894	$0.54	14d	1	0.49mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-04-28
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-20
   listed $39,900 Active
3. 2021-08-06
   historical
4. 2007-11-30
   historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $974 · $81/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $974 · $81/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,878
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,235
• − Property taxes: −$974
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,350
• − Management: −$1,350
• − Depreciation: −$1,161
• Taxable income: $9,608
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,306
• After-tax cash flow: $7,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Peoria SD 150
• NCES district ID: 1731230
• Math proficiency: 11% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 14% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $41,951
• Composite: 10.92/100
• National rank: #9751
• State rank: #554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #270
• US rank: #5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Peoria, IL
• County: Peoria County · 120,495 people
• City population: 114,670
• Metro: Peoria, IL
• Population (ZIP): 28,313
• Household income: $52,414
• Rent vs Own: 32.0% rent · 68.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 183,007 people
• By 2030: 179,643 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 171,782 · -6.1%
• By 2050: 163,508 · -10.7%
• By 2075: 140,178 · -23.4%
• By 2100: 114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.15%
• Current HPI: 165.8838
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.30%
• Metro: Peoria, IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-20 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-11-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $974 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.