147 Howard Rd · Oakland, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.
Key facts
- Wooded lot
- Large front porch
- Abundant wildlife
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 1.8 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Gravel parking; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer: Unknown; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Fixer condition; Living area reported by assessor (984)
- Construction: Aluminum roof; Combination foundation; Built as a house (structure type: House)
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Outbuilding; Many trees on the lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other); No central cooling (type: Other)
- Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Laundry closet
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $47k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#338 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- East Tallahatchie Consol School District (town): math 6% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #127 of 130 in MS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Tallahatchie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($325 loan paydown + $747 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- Tallahatchie County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.83%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $47,232
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147 Howard Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 984 (0%) | 1mo | $47,000 | $48 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $28,005
- Equity at exit
- $17,501
- IRR
- 41.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $68,190
- Equity at exit
- $24,428
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38927
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $431 | -5% $417 | +0% $404 | +5% $391 | +10% $377 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $328 | -5% $366 | +0% $404 | +5% $442 | +10% $479 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $428 | -0.5pp $416 | base $404 | +0.5pp $392 | +1.0pp $379 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.
-
2026-05-20status Pending 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.
-
2026-05-08$47,000 Active
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.
-
2026-05-08$47,000 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$1,017
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$917
- − Management
- −$917
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $4,378
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Tallahatchie Consol School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801410
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,874
- Composite
- 4.48/100
- National rank
- #10053
- State rank
- #127 of 130 in MS
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #25372
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,248
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,146
Population outlook (Tallahatchie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,680 people
- By 2030
- 13,261 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 12,205 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 11,028 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 8,367 · -38.8%
- By 2100
- 6,277 · -54.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 39% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tallahatchie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.5% · R 46.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+10.8 2016: D+14.9 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- Current HPI
- 79.1795
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NCMBR
- 2026-05-08 Listed $47,000 NCMBR
- 2026-05-08 Listed $47,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,017 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…