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147 Howard Rd
B Composite 71.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$47,000

147 Howard Rd · Oakland, MS 38927
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1993 1.80 ac lot Est $47k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • Large front porch
  • Abundant wildlife

Tags

WOODED LOTLARGE FRONT PORCHABUNDANT WILDLIFE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 1.8 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Gravel parking; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer: Unknown; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Fixer condition; Living area reported by assessor (984)
  • Construction: Aluminum roof; Combination foundation; Built as a house (structure type: House)
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Outbuilding; Many trees on the lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other); No central cooling (type: Other)
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Laundry closet
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $47k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#338 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • East Tallahatchie Consol School District (town): math 6% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #127 of 130 in MS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Tallahatchie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($325 loan paydown + $747 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • Tallahatchie County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
16.61%
Cash-on-cash
36.83%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$47,232
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
147 Howard Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 984 (0%) 1mo $47,000 $48 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$28,005
Equity at exit
$17,501
10-year hold
IRR
41.6%
Equity multiple
6.18×
Total profit
$68,190
Equity at exit
$24,428

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38927

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$404

Break-even live

Break-even rent $444
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $431 -5% $417 +0% $404 +5% $391 +10% $377
Rent -10% $328 -5% $366 +0% $404 +5% $442 +10% $479
Rate -1.0pp $428 -0.5pp $416 base $404 +0.5pp $392 +1.0pp $379

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.

  2. 2026-05-20
    status Pending 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.

  3. 2026-05-08
    listed $47,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.

  4. 2026-05-08
    listed $47,000 Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful wooded 1.8-acre lot, this quaint 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath cabin is the perfect hunter's retreat or weekend getaway. Featuring a large front porch ideal for relaxing after a long day outdoors, this property offers privacy, nature, and endless potential with a little TLC to become your cozy home or the ultimate hunting camp spot. Surrounded by woods and abundant wildlife, this is truly a hunter's dream property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,464
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$1,017
− Insurance
−$235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$917
− Management
−$917
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$4,378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,051
After-tax cash flow
$3,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Tallahatchie Consol School District
NCES district ID
2801410
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$30,874
Composite
4.48/100
National rank
#10053
State rank
#127 of 130 in MS

Livability — Oakland

Score
51/100
State rank
#338
US rank
#25372

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,248
Population (ZIP)
1,146

Population outlook (Tallahatchie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,680 people
By 2030
13,261 · -3.1%
By 2040
12,205 · -10.8%
By 2050
11,028 · -19.4%
By 2075
8,367 · -38.8%
By 2100
6,277 · -54.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (58%)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 39% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Slovak 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tallahatchie

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.5% · R 46.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.1pp toward R · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+10.8 2016: D+14.9 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.59%
Current HPI
79.1795
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NCMBR
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $47,000 NCMBR
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $47,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,017 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…