314 E North St · Goliad, TX 77963

$78,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 846 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

0.29 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.5/30.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.8/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Two bed, one bath home in the heard of Goliad. Perfect rental or starter home. Home features a one car garage, eat in kitchen, and washer/dryer hookup. Fenced in back yard. Home is sold as is for a move in ready fixer upper or rental.

Key facts

• One car garage
• Eat in kitchen
• Washer dryer hookup

Tags

• ONE CAR GARAGE
• EAT IN KITCHEN
• WASHER DRYER HOOKUP
• FENCED IN BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
• Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Public trash collection
• Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Pillar/post/pier foundation
• Construction: HardiPlank type siding; Composition/shingle roof; Built year from assessor
• Exterior features: Back yard with chain link fencing; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

• Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heating present; One cooling unit
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Tub with shower; See remarks
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($893/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $78k).
• Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.1% in Goliad — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#348 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Goliad ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #370 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Goliad County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Goliad County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $78,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.09%
• DSCR: 1.18
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.64×
• Total profit: $-7,787
• Equity at exit: $11,630

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-222
• Equity at exit: $6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77963

• Home prices YoY: -14.1%
• Active inventory: 65
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $977 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$409
• Tax from tax record: −$256 /mo · $3,072/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$205
• Net cashflow: $74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $883

Max offer price $78,000

Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $119	-5% $96	+0% $74	+5% $52	+10% $30
Rent	-10% $-3	-5% $36	+0% $74	+5% $113	+10% $152
Rate	-1.0pp $114	-0.5pp $94	base $74	+0.5pp $54	+1.0pp $34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,500
• Closing costs: $2,340
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $78,000 Active 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $78,000 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   remarks 234-char remark
5. 2026-06-16
   listed $78,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,072 · $256/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,072 · $256/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,726
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,369
• − Property taxes: −$3,072
• − Insurance: −$390
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$938
• − Management: −$938
• − Depreciation: −$2,269
• Taxable loss: −$250
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$60
• After-tax cash flow: $953/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Goliad ISD
• NCES district ID: 4821030
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $52,198
• Composite: 35.12/100
• National rank: #5015
• State rank: #370 of 826 in TX

Livability — Goliad

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #348
• US rank: #7645

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Goliad, TX
• Population (ZIP): 5,109

Population outlook (Goliad County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 8,337 people
• By 2030: 8,754 · +5.0%
• By 2040: 9,581 · +14.9%
• By 2050: 10,448 · +25.3%
• By 2075: 12,946 · +55.3%
• By 2100: 14,392 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 17% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 33%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Goliad

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.5% · R 79.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -26.5pp · 2024: -60.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+55.4 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+33.8 2008: R+26.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -30.59%
• Current HPI: 185.8947
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $78,000 CTXMLS
• 2026-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,072 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.