111 Convair Ct · Ruidoso, NM 88345

$149,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Other public records · 126 Days on market

Built 1971 0.31 ac lot ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great getaway in the Cool pines! Cute two-bedroom, two-bath home is on a quiet cul-de-sac located near schools, shopping, restaurants, & activity paths. The home features a large front deck and carport w/ gently sloping backyard. The spacious open-concept home has split en-suite bedrooms & baths. Take a look, this could be your mountain getaway, or a good nightly rental. Wildlife watching happens here!

Key facts

• Near schools
• Quiet cul-de-sac
• Near shopping

Tags

• QUIET CUL-DE-SAC
• LARGE FRONT DECK
• GENTLY SLOPING BACKYARD
• SPLIT EN-SUITE BEDROOMS
• NEAR SCHOOLS
• NEAR SHOPPING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $149k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (3.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#40 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Ruidoso Municipal Schools (town): math 16% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 29 in NM (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 593 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lincoln County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.96% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.66%
• DSCR: 1.30
• GRM: 8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-9,464
• Equity at exit: $22,216

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.25×
• Total profit: $10,501
• Equity at exit: $12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Mexico: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 88345

• Active inventory: 593
• Price-to-rent: 8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,432 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax from tax record: −$56 /mo · $674/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$301
• Net cashflow: $231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,139

Max offer price $149,000

Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $316	-5% $274	+0% $231	+5% $189	+10% $147
Rent	-10% $118	-5% $175	+0% $231	+5% $288	+10% $345
Rate	-1.0pp $306	-0.5pp $269	base $231	+0.5pp $193	+1.0pp $154

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,250
• Closing costs: $4,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
108 Raymond Buckner Dr Unit B Ruidoso, NM	2.0	1.0	993	$1,400	$1.41	44d	1	0.18mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $149,000 Active 126 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $149,000 Active 125 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $149,000 Active 124 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $149,000 Active 123 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $149,000 Active 122 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $149,000 Active 120 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $149,000 Active 119 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $149,000 Active 116 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $149,000 Active 115 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 114 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,000 Active 110 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $149,000 Active 109 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 108 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 107 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 106 DOM
16. 2026-05-06
    price $155,000 416-char remark

    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Great getaway in the Cool pines! Cute two-bedroom, two-bath home is on a quiet cul-de-sac located near schools, shopping, restaurants, & activity paths. The home features a large front deck and carport w/ gently sloping backyard. The spacious open-concept home has split en-suite bedrooms & baths. Take a look, this could be your mountain getaway, or a good nightly rental. Wildlife watching happens here!

17. 2026-02-10
    listed $165,000 Active 416-char remark

    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Great getaway in the Cool pines! Cute two-bedroom, two-bath home is on a quiet cul-de-sac located near schools, shopping, restaurants, & activity paths. The home features a large front deck and carport w/ gently sloping backyard. The spacious open-concept home has split en-suite bedrooms & baths. Take a look, this could be your mountain getaway, or a good nightly rental. Wildlife watching happens here!

18. 2019-10-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $674 · $56/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,192 · $99/mo
• Expected delta: +$518/yr (+$43/mo · 76.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,180
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,346
• − Property taxes: −$674
• − Insurance: −$745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,374
• − Management: −$1,374
• − Depreciation: −$4,335
• Taxable income: $332
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$80
• After-tax cash flow: $2,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ruidoso Municipal Schools
• NCES district ID: 3502310
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▲ 20.00%
• Median HH income: $44,094
• Composite: 31.68/100
• National rank: #5925
• State rank: #14 of 29 in NM

Livability — Ruidoso

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #40
• US rank: #11996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ruidoso, NM
• County: Lincoln County · 7,835 people
• City population: 7,835
• Metro: Ruidoso, NM
• Population (ZIP): 7,835
• Household income: $53,971
• Rent vs Own: 29.8% rent · 70.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 156.0

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 16,903 people
• By 2030: 15,556 · -8.0%
• By 2040: 13,064 · -22.7%
• By 2050: 10,991 · -35.0%
• By 2075: 7,619 · -54.9%
• By 2100: 5,966 · -64.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Native American 1% Black 1% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 23%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Danish 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+38.5) · D 29.8% · R 68.3% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.4pp · 2024: -38.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+38.5 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+32.7 2008: R+25.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -125.17%
• Current HPI: 141.9549
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Ruidoso, NM
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-6.1% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $155,000 RLCAR
• 2026-02-10 Listed $165,000 RLCAR
• 2019-10-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $674 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.