7363 Charles Loring Jr Rd · Panama City, FL 32404

$259,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,439 sqft · SingleFamily

Built 2026 Excellent condition 5,663 sqft lot Est $258k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.1/15.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• DSCR +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Sutton Plan, one of our new plans at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Sutton is a spacious single-story home with 1,439 square feet of comfortable living. This beautiful home offers 4 bedrooms with 2 bathrooms, and a 1-car garage. As you enter the home, the foyer welcomes you with beautiful EVP flooring which spans throughout the home in the main areas and bathrooms. Right by the front door are the 3 guest bedrooms, a full bathroom, and down the hallway is the laundry room and storage area leading into the kitchen and living room. Each bedroom boasts plenty of space and sizeable closets for organization with soft carpet flooring. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful gra

Key facts

• 5,663 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Community pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (5.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (17.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $215k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 969 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $215,328 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.85%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.57%
• DSCR: 0.93
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $257,581
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7335 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,439 (0%)	0mo	$244,900	$170	100
7346 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,439 (0%)	1mo	$259,900	$181	99
7314 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,439 (0%)	2mo	$259,900	$181	98
7374 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,443 (+0%)	0mo	$254,900	$177	94
7347 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,443 (+0%)	0mo	$249,900	$173	94
7323 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,443 (+0%)	2mo	$259,900	$180	93
7330 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,504 (+4%)	1mo	$269,900	$179	92
7315 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,504 (+4%)	1mo	$264,900	$176	91
7358 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,504 (+4%)	2mo	$265,000	$176	91
7338 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,504 (+4%)	2mo	$269,900	$179	91
7362 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,281 (-11%)	1mo	$254,900	$199	76
6308 Dune Creek Way	0.65mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,565 (+9%)	1mo	$299,900	$192	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.28×
• Total profit: $-52,133
• Equity at exit: $38,752

10-year hold

• IRR: -19.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.05×
• Total profit: $-68,856
• Equity at exit: $22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32404

• Home prices YoY: -16.1%
• Rents YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 969
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,153 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,363
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
• Insurance: −$108
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$452
• Net cashflow: $-95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,274

Max offer price $246,151

Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $85	-5% $-5	+0% $-95	+5% $-185	+10% $-275
Rent	-10% $-265	-5% $-180	+0% $-95	+5% $-10	+10% $75
Rate	-1.0pp $36	-0.5pp $-29	base $-95	+0.5pp $-162	+1.0pp $-231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $64,975
• Closing costs: $7,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-07
   listed $259,900
2. 2026-04-07
   historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,839
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,558
• − Property taxes: −$3,898
• − Insurance: −$1,300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,067
• − Management: −$2,067
• − Depreciation: −$7,561
• Taxable loss: −$5,612
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,347
• After-tax cash flow: $207/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready home in Liberty, Panama City, FL, offers a spacious single-story layout with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It's an excellent investment opportunity with minimal updates needed to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves durability and appearance
• Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves durability and appearance ↑
• Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bay
• NCES district ID: 1200090
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,740
• Composite: 43.41/100
• National rank: #3014
• State rank: #29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #350
• US rank: #5823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bay County · 163,593 people
• City population: 91,445
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,514
• Household income: $74,708
• Rent vs Own: 30.8% rent · 69.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1218.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 206,264 people
• By 2030: 217,740 · +5.6%
• By 2040: 238,738 · +15.7%
• By 2050: 255,545 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 288,295 · +39.8%
• By 2100: 288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.59%
• Current HPI: 263.7178
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.12%
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
• 2026-04-07 Listed $259,900 CPARMLS