3114 Bolt St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-In Ready! Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 full baths, and an open layout filled with natural light. Offering 1,708 square feet of comfortable and functional living space. Designed with both style and practicality in mind, the thoughtfully laid-out floor plan features spacious living and dining areas filled with natural light, creating an inviting atmosphere for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample cabinetry and workspace, seamlessly connecting to the main living areas for effortless flow. Upstairs, the generously sized bedrooms include a well-appointed primary suite with a private bath, while the additional bedrooms share a full bathroom, plus a convenient guest powder room on the main level. This home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and convenience. Minutes to downtown Houston, minutes to 610 & I 10,quick drive to NRG Stadium and the Galleria. Fantastic Urban living experience! Come see TODAY!
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Guest powder room
- Private bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (15.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Reynolds El (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #4,301 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 334 students, 98% FRL); Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,982/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10562% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.64%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $321,220
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- -25.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $121,383
- Equity at exit
- $216,121
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.59×
- Total profit
- $375,672
- Equity at exit
- $466,073
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77051
- Home prices YoY
- 9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,982 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$411 /mo · $4,931/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-68 | -5% $-136 | +0% $-204 | +5% $-271 | +10% $-339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-360 | -5% $-282 | +0% $-204 | +5% $-125 | +10% $-47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-83 | -0.5pp $-142 | base $-204 | +0.5pp $-266 | +1.0pp $-329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2910 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $1,228 | $1.01 | 1d | 3 | 0.25mi |
| 9610 Buffum St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1605 | $1,799 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2889 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,648 | $1.65 | 4d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 2725 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 911 | $975 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9606 Ashville Dr Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $1,570 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3710 Rockingham St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,700 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3137 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,802 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10514 Wellesley Terrace Trl Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Unit NA Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,450 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10415 Lancaster Ln Houston, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1937 | $2,525 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,945 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $5,253 | $3.84 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4538 Clover St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,595 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4406 Sterling St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $3,500 | $2.08 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8606 Lee Otis St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $1,975 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9676 Knight Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1481 | $2,199 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-10$2,250
-
2026-04-08$239,900 Active 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
Move-In Ready! Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-story townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 full baths, and an open layout filled with natural light. Offering 1,708 square feet of comfortable and functional living space. Designed with both style and practicality in mind, the thoughtfully laid-out floor plan features spacious living and dining areas filled with natural light, creating an inviting atmosphere for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample cabinetry and workspace, seamlessly connecting to the main living areas for effortless flow. Upstairs, the generously sized bedrooms include a well-appointed primary suite with a private bath, while the additional bedrooms share a full bathroom, plus a convenient guest powder room on the main level. This home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and convenience. Minutes to downtown Houston, minutes to 610 & I 10,quick drive to NRG Stadium and the Galleria. Fantastic Urban living experience! Come see TODAY!
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2025-06-09soldstatus
-
2025-06-06soldstatus Sold 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
This charming home offers 3 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, NO HOA, and recent updates. The kitchen is recently renovated with sleek countertops and a modern color palette. Enjoy the fresh look and feel of brand-new flooring throughout the home, adding both style and durability. The living and dining areas flow effortlessly, providing a perfect space for gatherings or relaxation. The primary suite is a tranquil retreat with ample closet space, and natural light. Step out into a private backyard, a perfect canvas for creating your own garden oasis or designing a patio of your dreams. This home shares one wall with the neighboring unit, offering a sense of community while maintaining your privacy. Conveniently located near the Houston Medical Center, NRG Stadium, and minutes from Downtown with easy access to 288 and 610.
-
2025-05-19status Pending 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
This charming home offers 3 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, NO HOA, and recent updates. The kitchen is recently renovated with sleek countertops and a modern color palette. Enjoy the fresh look and feel of brand-new flooring throughout the home, adding both style and durability. The living and dining areas flow effortlessly, providing a perfect space for gatherings or relaxation. The primary suite is a tranquil retreat with ample closet space, and natural light. Step out into a private backyard, a perfect canvas for creating your own garden oasis or designing a patio of your dreams. This home shares one wall with the neighboring unit, offering a sense of community while maintaining your privacy. Conveniently located near the Houston Medical Center, NRG Stadium, and minutes from Downtown with easy access to 288 and 610.
-
2025-05-12status Option Pending 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
This charming home offers 3 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, NO HOA, and recent updates. The kitchen is recently renovated with sleek countertops and a modern color palette. Enjoy the fresh look and feel of brand-new flooring throughout the home, adding both style and durability. The living and dining areas flow effortlessly, providing a perfect space for gatherings or relaxation. The primary suite is a tranquil retreat with ample closet space, and natural light. Step out into a private backyard, a perfect canvas for creating your own garden oasis or designing a patio of your dreams. This home shares one wall with the neighboring unit, offering a sense of community while maintaining your privacy. Conveniently located near the Houston Medical Center, NRG Stadium, and minutes from Downtown with easy access to 288 and 610.
-
2025-03-27$229,000 Active 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
This charming home offers 3 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, NO HOA, and recent updates. The kitchen is recently renovated with sleek countertops and a modern color palette. Enjoy the fresh look and feel of brand-new flooring throughout the home, adding both style and durability. The living and dining areas flow effortlessly, providing a perfect space for gatherings or relaxation. The primary suite is a tranquil retreat with ample closet space, and natural light. Step out into a private backyard, a perfect canvas for creating your own garden oasis or designing a patio of your dreams. This home shares one wall with the neighboring unit, offering a sense of community while maintaining your privacy. Conveniently located near the Houston Medical Center, NRG Stadium, and minutes from Downtown with easy access to 288 and 610.
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2008-10-31soldstatus
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2008-10-22soldstatus
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2006-12-22soldstatus
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2006-04-19soldstatus
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1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,931 · $411/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,931 · $411/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$4,931
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,902
- − Management
- −$1,902
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$6,574
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,578
- After-tax cash flow
- $-865/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,795
- Household income
- $37,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1446.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 180.4283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.77%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-99.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Listed for Rent $2,250 HARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $239,900 HARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-06 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-05-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-05-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Listed $229,000 HARMLS
- 2008-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-12-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,931 · -38.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…